Calamity
criticalWildfireCalamity Score: 48

Wildfire near ‘Ayn al ‘Arab

SyriaNASA FIRMS (VIIRS)

Recorded by satellite 28 days ago.

A thermal anomaly is a snapshot of one satellite pass, not a record of a fire’s life: we cannot say whether it kept burning after that pass.

It is the 3rd strongest of the 52 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 8 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 20 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) reported 34 fire pixels with a combined fire radiative power of 525 MW, at high confidence, 25 km from ‘Ayn al ‘Arab.

The 34 pixels cover about 4.8 km² — that is the footprint of the detection grid at 375 m resolution, not an estimate of how much land burned.

FIRMS does not report burned area, and neither do we.

An estimated 22,373 people live within 35 km of this point.

Nearby, since 8 March 2026

How we know

One source: NASA FIRMS (VIIRS). Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100, at 74 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeWildfire
Severitycritical
Calamity Score (ours)48 / 100
Our confidence74%
Coordinates36.6929, 38.4822
Nearest City‘Ayn al ‘Arab (25 km)
Population Exposed22.4K within 35 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-08-02T14:56:18.466Z

Score Breakdown

80
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
40
historical

Technical Details

Brightness367
Frp525.46
PixelCount34
Confidencehigh

Safety Information

If a wildfire is approaching: follow evacuation orders immediately. Do not wait to see the fire. Close all windows and doors, remove combustible materials from around your home, and have an emergency go-bag ready. Air quality can deteriorate rapidly even at distance from the fire front — monitor local air quality advisories.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a fire event with CalamityScore 48/100, near ‘Ayn al ‘Arab (Syria), based on data from firms. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.