Recorded by satellite 48 days ago.
A thermal anomaly is a snapshot of one satellite pass, not a record of a fire’s life: we cannot say whether it kept burning after that pass.
It is the 6th strongest of the 25 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 May 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) reported 14 fire pixels with a combined fire radiative power of 127 MW, at nominal confidence, 2 km from Erzin.
The 14 pixels cover about 2.0 km² — that is the footprint of the detection grid at 375 m resolution, not an estimate of how much land burned.
FIRMS does not report burned area, and neither do we.
An estimated 93,606 people live within 20 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 May 2026
- July 11, 2026 · score 44 · 1.1 km
- June 30, 2026 · score 39 · 13.0 km
- May 23, 2026 · score 39 · 13.3 km
How we know
One source: NASA FIRMS (VIIRS). Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 44 out of 100, at 74 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Wildfire |
| Severity | high |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 44 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 74% |
| Coordinates | 36.9456, 36.1794 |
| Nearest City | Erzin (2 km) |
| Population Exposed | 93.6K within 20 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Date | 2026-07-12 — time not reported by the source |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Brightness | 355.6 |
| Frp | 127.38 |
| PixelCount | 14 |
| Confidence | nominal |
Safety Information
If a wildfire is approaching: follow evacuation orders immediately. Do not wait to see the fire. Close all windows and doors, remove combustible materials from around your home, and have an emergency go-bag ready. Air quality can deteriorate rapidly even at distance from the fire front — monitor local air quality advisories.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a fire event with CalamityScore 44/100, near Erzin (Turkey), based on data from firms. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 194 scientific monitoring sources.