Red notification for tropical cyclone BAVI-26. Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 35.288 million .
From 01/07/2026 to 11/07/2026, a Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 287 km/h) BAVI-26 was active in NWPacific. The cyclone affects these countries: Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Japan, Taiwan, China (vulnerability Medium). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 35.288 million . · Severity: Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 111 km/h) · Pop. affected: Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 35.288 million
Geographic Context
This cyclone event occurred near Xianju (approximately 36 km away) in China, an area that experiences a range of natural hazards. An estimated 1.7M people live within 100 km of the event location, placing this in the "catastrophic" population impact tier.
Event Assessment
This event is a tropical cyclone system being tracked by meteorological agencies. Calamity.live has classified it as "critical" severity with a severity value of 90. The computed Calamity Score is 71 out of 100, indicating a significant event requiring close monitoring. The primary scoring components are: population (100), intensity (90), historical (45). Data for this event was sourced from gdacs, one of the 250 scientific monitoring sources aggregated by Calamity.live.
Regional Monitoring Context
China has a documented history of cyclone events. Tropical cyclone monitoring for this region relies on data from meteorological agencies including NHC, JTWC, and regional RSMCs. Cyclone intensity forecasting considers sea surface temperature, wind shear, moisture availability, and atmospheric instability patterns.
Event Data
| Type | Cyclone |
| Severity | critical |
| Severity Value | 90 |
| Calamity Score | 71 / 100 |
| Confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 28.7000, 120.4000 |
| Nearest City | Xianju (36 km) |
| Population Exposed | 1.7M within 100 km |
| Impact Tier | catastrophic |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-13T04:19:34.373Z |
| Source | https://www.gdacs.org/report.aspx?eventtype=TC&eventid=1001279 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| EventType | TC |
| AlertLevel | Red |
| Country | Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Japan, Taiwan, China |
| Population | Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 35.288 million |
| FromRSS | true |
Safety Information
During a tropical cyclone: shelter in a sturdy interior room away from windows. Stock emergency supplies including water, food, medications, and flashlights. Do not venture outdoors during the eye of the storm. After passage, beware of downed power lines, flooding, and structural damage. Follow official guidance for evacuation and shelter.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a cyclone event with CalamityScore 71/100, near Xianju (China), based on data from gdacs. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 197 scientific monitoring sources.