Calamity
LowEarthquakesCS: 30 · v5

Earthquakes near Kotō

JapanJMA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from JMA arrived 11 hours ago, and this point is in it.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.

Reported by JMA today.

It is the 5th strongest of the 36 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 15 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

JMA reported: 20260915071724

Urban PEI: 1,099,270 within a heuristic 15 km radius; not unique people.

At this point we have recorded a magnitude between 2.5 and 3.8, over 877 readings since 30 August 2026. Today's reading sits 38% of the way up that range.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

One source: JMA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 30 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeEarthquakes
SeverityLow
Calamity Score (ours)30 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.82/1
Coordinates32.7900, 130.7400
Nearest CityKotō (1 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)1.1M within 15 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-09-14T22:14:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/quake/20260915071724_20260915071455_VXSE5k_1.json

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: jma. Occurrence: 2026-09-14T22:14:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-08-30T01:42:40.555Z. Material modification: 2026-09-14T22:26:24.929Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-09-14T22:26:24.929Z · model_change

    Index 3030; severity lowlow; version 45.

Score Breakdown

0
intensity
100
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
0
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

Mag3
MaxIntensity1
AreaName熊本県熊本地方
ContentType20260915071724
Serial1

Safety Information

If you feel shaking: Drop, Cover, and Hold On. Move away from windows, heavy objects, and exterior walls. After shaking stops, check for injuries and structural damage. Be prepared for aftershocks, which can occur minutes to months after the mainshock. Follow instructions from local emergency management authorities.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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