Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 32 · v5

Severe Weather near Alytus

LithuaniaMETEOALARM

Right now

The most recent data we hold from METEOALARM arrived 28 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert is in force until 16 September 2026, 05:59 UTC.

No stronger detection stands among the 8 recorded within 20 km of this point since 1 September 2026 — 7 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 14 September 2026. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

METEOALARM reported: MeteoAlarm carries a moderate warning for Alytus county (Dangerous fog). Issued by the national meteorological service of Lithuania. Placed at Alytus, the nearest settlement in the warned area; the warning itself covers the whole area.

Urban PEI: 84,170 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 1 September 2026

How we know

One source: METEOALARM. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)32 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.71/1
Coordinates54.4000, 24.0400
Nearest CityAlytus (0 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)84.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-15T21:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://meteoalarm.org?region=LT

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: meteoalarm. Occurrence: 2026-09-15T21:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-14T21:05:57.151Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-09-15T21:38:52.974Z · data_change

    Index 3232; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  2. 2026-09-15T20:32:24.334Z · data_change

    Index 3232; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  3. 2026-09-15T19:58:54.236Z · data_change

    Index 3232; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  4. 2026-09-15T08:17:35.436Z · data_change

    Index 3232; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  5. 2026-09-15T07:17:43.322Z · data_change

    Index 3232; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  6. 2026-09-15T06:18:26.014Z · data_change

    Index 3232; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  7. 2026-09-15T04:41:22.906Z · data_change

    Index 3232; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  8. 2026-09-15T04:14:42.188Z · data_change

    Index 3232; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  9. 2026-09-15T03:42:27.880Z · data_change

    Index 3232; severity mediummedium; version 55.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventDangerous fog
CapSeverityModerate
CapCertaintyLikely
CapUrgencyFuture
AreaDescAlytus county
EmmaIdLT001
CountryCodeLT
CountryLithuania
Expires2026-09-16T05:59:59+00:00
PlacedAtAlytus
Placementarea-name-component

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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