Calamity
MediumVolcanic EruptionsCS: 18 · v5

Volcanic Eruptions at Ahyi Seamount

USGS

Right now

The most recent data we hold from USGS arrived 15 hours ago, and this point is in it.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

Reported by USGS yesterday.

It is the 7th strongest of the 10 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 23 July 2026. The last comparable one was on 10 September 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

USGS reported: NMI Ahyi Seamount YELLOW/ADVISORY - No plumes seen in satellite images; no significant geophysical signals.

USGS moved the alert level from UNASSIGNED to ADVISORY.

Nearby, since 23 July 2026

How we know

One source: USGS. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 18 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeVolcanic Eruptions
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)18 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.62/1
Coordinates20.4370, 145.0300
Nearest CitySaipan (586 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 100 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-09-18T00:41:48.000Z
Sourcehttps://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hans2/view/notice/DOI-USGS-NMI-2026-09-18T00:41:02+00:00

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: usgs_volcano. Occurrence: 2026-09-18T00:41:48.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-18T00:56:38.856Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-09-18T19:25:36.962Z · data_change

    Index 1818; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  2. 2026-09-18T18:52:55.688Z · data_change

    Index 1818; severity mediummedium; version 55.

Score Breakdown

40
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
20
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

VolcanoNameAhyi Seamount
VolcanoId284141
AlertLevelADVISORY
ColorCodeYELLOW
ObservatoryCodenmi
NvewsThreatVery Low Threat
PreviousAlertLevelUNASSIGNED
PreviousColorCodeUNASSIGNED

Safety Information

During volcanic activity: follow evacuation orders from authorities. Volcanic ash can damage lungs — wear N95 masks or wet cloth over nose and mouth. Stay indoors during ashfall, close windows, and avoid driving. Lahars and pyroclastic flows can travel at high speeds — stay away from valleys and river channels near the volcano.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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