Calamity
HighVolcanic EruptionsCS: 32 · v5

Volcanic Eruptions at Great Sitkin

USGS

Right now

The most recent data we hold from USGS arrived 19 hours ago, and this point is in it.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

Reported by USGS today.

No stronger detection stands among the 157 recorded within 20 km of this point since 7 March 2026 — 15 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 12 September 2026. 16 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

USGS reported: AVO Great Sitkin ORANGE/WATCH - Slow eruption of lava within the summit crater continues, accompanied by weak seismicity.

USGS moved the alert level from ADVISORY to WATCH.

Nearby, since 7 March 2026

How we know

One source: USGS. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeVolcanic Eruptions
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)32 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.62/1
Coordinates52.0765, -176.1109
Nearest CityAnadyr (1453 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 100 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-09-13T18:56:31.000Z
Sourcehttps://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hans2/view/notice/DOI-USGS-AVO-2026-09-13T18:54:33+00:00

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: usgs_volcano. Occurrence: 2026-09-13T18:56:31.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-13T19:12:30.757Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-09-14T13:51:07.994Z · model_change

    Index 3232; severity highhigh; version 45.

Score Breakdown

60
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

VolcanoNameGreat Sitkin
VolcanoId311120
AlertLevelWATCH
ColorCodeORANGE
ObservatoryCodeavo
NvewsThreatHigh Threat
PreviousAlertLevelADVISORY
PreviousColorCodeYELLOW

Safety Information

During volcanic activity: follow evacuation orders from authorities. Volcanic ash can damage lungs — wear N95 masks or wet cloth over nose and mouth. Stay indoors during ashfall, close windows, and avoid driving. Lahars and pyroclastic flows can travel at high speeds — stay away from valleys and river channels near the volcano.

Series begins 8 March 2026 for live collection; the monthly chart also counts backfilled detections from 10 February 2024. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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