中恶劣天气CS: 37 · v5

恶劣天气 — 08b

2026年10月21日 · 15:00 UTCChileDirección Meteorológica de Chile (DMC)

此刻

我们从 Dirección Meteorológica de Chile (DMC) 收到的最新数据是11小时前的。

过去 24 小时内，20 公里范围内还有 1 次探测，最近的一次距此 16 公里。

本页介绍2026年10月21日的记录。查看该地区的近期观测：

恶劣天气 · Los Ángeles附近今日动态 Los Ángeles附近今日动态

官方预警

此预警已过期。原文保留如下。

记录到的最高预警级别: Moderate.

本公告的预警级别: Moderate.

Dirección Meteorológica de Chile
Tormentas Eléctricas en las regiones del Maule, Ñuble y Biobío
Tormentas Eléctricas en las regiones del Maule, Ñuble y Biobío - Probabilidad de granizos y fuertes rachas de vientos locales

该预警已于 2026年10月22日 02:59 UTC 失效，此处保留作为记录。

自 2026年10月5日以来该点 20 公里范围内记录的 13 次检测中，没有更强的一次——另有 4 次得分相同。同一天此处还有另一次可比的记录。此前两周内，此处另有 6 次记录。

来源测得的内容

Dirección Meteorológica de Chile (DMC) 报告：Tormentas Eléctricas en las regiones del Maule, Ñuble y Biobío - Probabilidad de granizos y fuertes rachas de vientos locales

城市PEI：356,302，启发式半径50公里；不是独立个人的计数。

附近，自 2026年10月5日

2026年10月22日 · 评分 37 · 0.0 km
2026年10月26日 · 评分 37 · 15.5 km
2026年10月21日 · 评分 37 · 15.5 km

依据

仅一个来源：Dirección Meteorológica de Chile (DMC)。尚未获得第二个独立来源确认。

我们对该事件的评分为 37 分（满分 100）。

这是我们的版本化启发式指数，并非校准概率。城市PEI不是独立个人的实际计数。

按评分规则 v5 计算。采用其他版本的记录按不同规则评定，不能直接比较。

数据序列自2026年3月8日开始，比较仅限该时段。采集中断：14-26 2026年8月。

数据由算法汇总自科学来源，不能替代官方紧急警报。

事件数据

类型	恶劣天气
严重程度	中
Calamity Score（本站）	37 / 100
旧版数据支持指数	0.64/1
坐标	-37.4891, -72.4100
最近城市	Los Ángeles (6 km)
城市暴露指数 (PEI)	356.3K（50 公里范围内）
影响等级	显著
时间	2026-10-21T15:00:00.000Z
来源	https://archivos.meteochile.gob.cl/portaldmc/rss/meteochile_AA187_2026_cap.xml
许可	Public domain · Dirección Meteorológica de Chile (DMC) · Grouped by area and warning; CAP severity mapped; map location derived from alert geometry. Original warning text preserved.

物理优先级指数 · v5. 启发式优先级，并非校准概率，也不代表预测准确度或损失程度。旧版数据支持指数综合了分配给信息源的支持度和字段的可用性。城市PEI按距离加权，不统计独立人数；为零并不表示无人在场。模型说明卡.

来源与修订记录

来源：cap_cl_dmc。发生：2026-10-21T15:00:00.000Z。

首次存档：2026-10-21T19:41:25.495Z。实质性修改：未记录。

修订记录自建立之时起保留，更早的版本可能缺失。没有修订记录并不证明该记录从未更改。

评分构成

强度

城市PEI项

情景权重

记录参考 / 批次异常

技术细节

Event	Tormentas Eléctricas
AreaDesc	08b
Geocodes	[]
Onset	2026-10-21T12:00:00-03:00
Expires	2026-10-21T23:59:59-03:00
TimeBasis	onset
LocalDay	20261021
WarningGeometry	{"polygons":[[[[-72.876713,-36.448529],[-72.873477,-36.456006],[-72.867975,-36.455412],[-72.827112,-36.461066],[-72.819264,-36.454745],[-72.809465,-36.459635],[-72.813488,-36.48181],[-72.79971,-36.496958],[-72.801468,-36.510942],[-72.814161,-36.516895],[-72.819788,-36.514565],[-72.827294,-36.525532],[-72.825007,-36.543711],[-72.796072,-36.565286],[-72.79962,-36.606021],[-72.766101,-36.60379],[-72.775301,-36.62423],[-72.733699,-36.617755],[-72.734686,-36.640451],[-72.720856,-36.654263],[-72.688096,-36.653786],[-72.655077,-36.666754],[-72.619402,-36.691224],[-72.591775,-36.734524],[-72.588128,-36.751004],[-72.60294,-36.768136],[-72.58735,-36.79961],[-72.58048,-36.829221],[-72.538029,-36.850694],[-72.555245,-36.85081],[-72.571536,-36.865716],[-72.562532,-36.88998],[-72.59871,-36.888321],[-72.64829,-36.881859],[-72.665799,-36.913708],[-72.589597,-36.923842],[-72.513396,-36.933976],[-72.503368,-36.89507],[-72.431813,-36.928265],[-72.382901,-36.913433],[-72.350273,-36.938997],[-72.344125,-36.96674],[-72.219291,-37.013278],[-72.180637,-37.046718],[-72.261674,-37.092587],[-72.272483,-37.193565],[-72.220609,-37.183596],[-72.162172,-37.194681],[-72.119131,-37.175523],[-72.059281,-37.189994],[-72.058692,-37.167192],[-72.021789,-37.167697],[-71.990637,-37.192949],[-71.901957,-37.183084],[-71.851451,-37.159263],[-71.844278,-37.132465],[-71.793257,-37.107215],[-71.679625,-37.143147],[-71.581264,-37.124742],[-71.559482,-37.135523],[-71.542954,-37.054539],[-71.549586,-37.019167],[-71.50747,-37.00479],[-71.476383,-37.022243],[-71.472817,-37.037611],[-71.462606,-37.044639],[-71.461378,-37.064309],[-71.44487,-37.071938],[-71.423386,-37.076755],[-71.410627,-37.087541],[-71.393856,-37.069439],[-71.381026,-37.067582],[-71.332339,-37.075678],[-71.301576,-37.102429],[-71.284533,-37.100824],[-71.27095,-37.110235],[-71.222144,-37.102486],[-71.181622,-37.098351],[-71.155587,-37.115815],[-71.113972,-37.116395],[-71.095209,-37.111897],[-71.09188,-37.114422],[-71.095026,-37.125857],[-71.109495,-37.134024],[-71.122245,-37.134931],[-71.127335,-37.14219],[-71.133137,-37.141843],[-71.134507,-37.165358],[-71.129135,-37.171292],[-71.124979,-37.190724],[-71.12021,-37.1938],[-71.111553,-37.207083],[-71.139849,-37.220403],[-71.148141,-37.221568],[-71.166392,-37.225295],[-71.15256,-37.232712],[-71.161227,-37.248509],[-71.170545,-37.252038],[-71.171284,-37.261421],[-71.183486,-37.260432],[-71.185214,-37.278696],[-71.215563,-37.273678],[-71.211175,-37.311048],[-71.187225,-37.356845],[-71.197794,-37.368569],[-71.177367,-37.397481],[-71.156966,-37.395747],[-71.14879,-37.401136],[-71.13733,-37.442823],[-71.117718,-37.455385],[-71.113791,-37.488507],[-71.129427,-37.529713],[-71.14684,-37.537769],[-71.128687,-37.552594],[-71.121927,-37.585187],[-71.157694,-37.617182],[-71.170985,-37.613843],[-71.192891,-37.628949],[-71.197681,-37.646638],[-71.195848,-37.660717],[-71.209301,-37.693395],[-71.186254,-37.711484],[-71.182039,-37.734003],[-71.155642,-37.757718],[-71.157603,-37.770683],[-71.169422,-37.782148],[-71.157435,-37.791069],[-71.150433,-37.808675],[-71.121754,-37.819509],[-71.131514,-37.834856],[-71.15791,-37.839452],[-71.166268,-37.857061],[-71.137824,-37.858351],[-71.098581,-37.897946],[-71.108357,-37.949079],[-71.090886,-37.958816],[-71.057125,-37.968553],[-71.062226,-37.989329],[-71.047545,-37.990846],[-71.057804,-38.015788],[-71.048282,-38.025144],[-71.049814,-38.045499],[-71.042037,-38.053941],[-71.023148,-38.060208],[-71.010077,-38.081133],[-70.988047,-38.084215],[-70.98355,-38.112381],[-71.022162,-38.113145],[-71.043691,-38.123816],[-71.084593,-38.090405],[-71.111819,-38.092269],[-71.119825,-38.104006],[-71.134724,-38.101194],[-71.148607,-38.111381],[-71.174349,-38.105445],[-71.178999,-38.096973],[-71.190146,-38.104286],[-71.211536,-38.099602],[-71.252753,-38.095687],[-71.262991,-38.096945],[-71.283437,-38.108778],[-71.294437,-38.106077],[-71.308884,-38.089383],[-71.35543,-38.085415],[-71.390795,-38.093125],[-71.414042,-38.108937],[-71.412179,-38.134684],[-71.432319,-38.17276],[-71.447444,-38.170521],[-71.460906,-38.182344],[-71.487304,-38.190967],[-71.508861,-38.208957],[-71.53278,-38.20331],[-71.532867,-38.230334],[-71.553711,-38.245626],[-71.578861,-38.230849],[-71.610434,-38.241229],[-71.632099,-38.273851],[-71.6446,-38.316074],[-71.663624,-38.301084],[-71.673951,-38.297784],[-71.687573,-38.289178],[-71.700459,-38.273169],[-71.70791,-38.259017],[-71.685816,-38.251282],[-71.69526,-38.228652],[-71.713358,-38.216739],[-71.692639,-38.172786],[-71.718296,-38.149954],[-71.704032,-38.115454],[-71.7033,-38.070336],[-71.772071,-38.028703],[-71.879382,-38.076584],[-71.927258,-38.04675],[-71.930014,-38.029692],[-71.969791,-37.993142],[-72.055406,-38.012462],[-72.102231,-37.995654],[-72.128564,-37.951426],[-72.182897,-37.928902],[-72.248543,-37.875486],[-72.31936,-37.879198],[-72.353928,-37.853906],[-72.393371,-37.844007],[-72.426962,-37.794816],[-72.465333,-37.767566],[-72.481324,-37.72957],[-72.481786,-37.687747],[-72.492475,-37.6454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CapTimeZone	UTC-03:00
CapDayBasis	cap-offset
CapSeverity	Moderate
DailyPeakCapSeverity	Moderate
CapUrgency	Future
CapCertainty	Likely
Urgency	Future
Certainty	Likely
Headline	Tormentas Eléctricas en las regiones del Maule, Ñuble y Biobío
Description	Tormentas Eléctricas en las regiones del Maule, Ñuble y Biobío - Probabilidad de granizos y fuertes rachas de vientos locales
SenderName	Dirección Meteorológica de Chile
Language	es-CL

安全信息

有天气预警生效时该怎么做

预警说明会出现什么天气、可能造成什么影响，以及预报员有多大把握。先说三件事，再说之前、期间和之后该做什么。依据英国气象局（Met Office）的预警指南和 FEMA 的 Ready.gov。

针对本次报告恶劣天气 · Los Ángeles

读预警内容，不只看颜色
预警会说明是什么天气、在哪里、可能造成什么影响以及可能性多大。颜色只是概括，不是全部信息。
Met Office
橙色或红色：改变计划
橙色表示影响更可能发生：重新考虑出行，保护好自己和住所。红色表示预计会出现危险天气：立即行动，避免出行，听从救援部门。
Met Office
关注到预警结束
预警会更新、升级和延长。持续关注国家气象部门和本地新闻。
Met Office · Ready.gov

之前、期间、之后。这里已是“之后”。

之前恶劣天气到来之前3

期间预警生效期间2

之后当前预警解除后1

之前 · 恶劣天气到来之前

接收预警
来自国家气象部门：它的应用、网站或手机上的预警。
为停电做好准备
手电筒、电池和充好电的手机。
想想身边的人
年长的邻居、独居的人，以及道路或电力中断就会陷入困境的人。

Met Office · Ready.gov（FEMA）

期间 · 预警生效期间

尽量避免出行
尤其是橙色或红色预警时：道路和铁路可能关闭。
听从当局
以及了解当地情况的救援部门。

Met Office

之后 · 预警解除后

注意损坏
远离掉落的电线和受损的建筑。

Ready.gov（FEMA）

如有生命危险

紧急电话：智利

常见问题

预警的颜色是什么意思？

黄色：注意，可能会有一些影响，或者更严重的影响有可能但可能性较小。橙色：做好准备，影响更可能发生，改变计划。红色：采取行动，预计会出现危险天气。来源：英国气象局（Met Office）。

黄色预警严重吗？

有可能：有些黄色预警针对的是可能性不大、但一旦发生就很严重的影响。读一读预警，看看属于哪一种。来源：英国气象局（Met Office）。

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