Rating
Chile risk rating
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-15 22:41:24 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-16 00:41:24 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 17/100 · Eligible records: 2
Rating history
- AtoAindex 13 → 9Yellow → Green19h agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: M 5.1 Earthquake (CalamityScore 17); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.2 → 9.8population component 7.7 → 0.0
Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: M 5.1 Earthquake (CalamityScore 17); cause of change not attributed. severity component 16.2 → 9.8. population component 7.7 → 0.0. Context: EVENT: M 5.1 Earthquake — CL Detected: 2026-10-14T00:30:48.350Z CalamityScore: 17/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: CL. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- BtoAindex 24 → 1322h agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 13)Current dominant event: Probables Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.6 → 16.2cascade component 46.5 → 0.0forecast component 26.5 → 32.3
- BtoBindex 23 → 24Green → Yellow1d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Probables Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.4 → 17.6forecast component 26.0 → 26.5
- BtoBindex 39 → 23Yellow → Green1d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Probables Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.6 → 14.4population component 47.8 → 7.7
- CtoBindex 54 → 391d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 54 → 39)Current dominant event: Viento Moderado a Fuerte en zonas de la región de Antofagasta (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 42.8 → 34.6cascade component 66.5 → 46.5population component 81.2 → 47.8forecast component 27.5 → 26.0
- DtoCindex 76 → 541d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 76 → 54)Current dominant event: M 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 100.0 → 42.8cascade component 46.5 → 66.5population component 100.0 → 81.2forecast component 30.0 → 27.5
- DtoDindex 68 → 761d agoActivity score changed from 68 to 76Current dominant event: Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributed2 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 0.0 → 46.5forecast component 51.0 → 30.0
- BtoDindex 25 → 682d agoCountry rating changed from B to D (score 25 → 68)Current dominant event: Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.4 → 100.0population component 40.1 → 100.0forecast component 39.0 → 51.0
- AtoBindex 9 → 25Green → Yellow3d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 9 → 25)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Viento Moderado a Fuerte en zonas de la región de Antofagasta (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 27.4population component 0.0 → 40.1forecast component 37.5 → 39.0
- CtoAindex 55 → 9Yellow → Green4d agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 55 → 9)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 72.8 → 7.2population component 100.0 → 0.0forecast component 42.0 → 37.5
- DtoCindex 66 → 556d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 66 → 55)Current dominant event: Probables Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 72.8
- CtoDindex 60 → 667d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 60 → 66)Current dominant event: Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Valparaíso a la región del Maule (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 83.4 → 100.0forecast component 43.5 → 42.0
- DtoCindex 68 → 608d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 68 → 60)Current dominant event: Probables Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 83.4forecast component 51.0 → 43.5
- DtoDindex 61 → 688d agoActivity score changed from 61 to 68Current dominant event: Precipitaciones Moderadas a Fuertes en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región de O'Higgins (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 91.6 → 100.0forecast component 31.5 → 51.0
- AtoDindex 10 → 61Green → Yellow9d agoCountry rating changed from A to D (score 10 → 61)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Precipitaciones Moderadas a Fuertes en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región de O'Higgins (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.0 → 91.6population component 0.0 → 100.0forecast component 32.3 → 31.5
- AtoAindex 12 → 10Yellow → Green11d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality — Coyhaique II, Chile (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.4 → 13.0forecast component 42.0 → 32.3
- AtoAindex 9 → 12Green → Yellow12d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 14.4forecast component 37.5 → 42.0
- AtoAindex 14 → 9Yellow → Green12d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.2 → 7.2population component 2.0 → 0.0forecast component 32.3 → 37.5
- AtoAindex 9 → 14Green → Yellow12d agoOperational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 155) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 21.2population component 0.0 → 2.0forecast component 37.5 → 32.3
- AtoAindex 11 → 9Yellow → Green12d agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.8 → 7.2forecast component 33.8 → 37.5