Rating

Chile risk rating

Activity gradeAindex 6.0/100
Operational statusGreen
Last updated16m ago

Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2

Computed: 2026-10-15 22:41:24 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-16 00:41:24 UTC

Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits

state:
partial
missing Country:
unassessed
country Limit:
100
forecast:
assessed
population Metric:
urban event exposures not unique people

The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.

Rating components

Summed event intensity76.6/100
Scenario weight00.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI00.0/100
CFI activity proxy2424.0/100

Recorded hazard contributions

Earthquake

Mean event index: 17/100 · Eligible records: 2

Rating history

  1. AtoAindex 13 → 9Yellow → Green19h ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: M 5.1 Earthquake (CalamityScore 17); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.2 → 9.8population component 7.7 → 0.0

    Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: M 5.1 Earthquake (CalamityScore 17); cause of change not attributed. severity component 16.2 → 9.8. population component 7.7 → 0.0. Context: EVENT: M 5.1 Earthquake — CL Detected: 2026-10-14T00:30:48.350Z CalamityScore: 17/100 Severity: medium CONTEXT: Country: CL. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.

  2. BtoAindex 24 → 1322h ago
    Country rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 13)Current dominant event: Probables Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.6 → 16.2cascade component 46.5 → 0.0forecast component 26.5 → 32.3
  3. BtoBindex 23 → 24Green → Yellow1d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Probables Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.4 → 17.6forecast component 26.0 → 26.5
  4. BtoBindex 39 → 23Yellow → Green1d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Probables Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.6 → 14.4population component 47.8 → 7.7
  5. CtoBindex 54 → 391d ago
    Country rating changed from C to B (score 54 → 39)Current dominant event: Viento Moderado a Fuerte en zonas de la región de Antofagasta (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 42.8 → 34.6cascade component 66.5 → 46.5population component 81.2 → 47.8forecast component 27.5 → 26.0
  6. DtoCindex 76 → 541d ago
    Country rating changed from D to C (score 76 → 54)Current dominant event: M 5.0 Earthquake (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 100.0 → 42.8cascade component 46.5 → 66.5population component 100.0 → 81.2forecast component 30.0 → 27.5
  7. DtoDindex 68 → 761d ago
    Activity score changed from 68 to 76Current dominant event: Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributed2 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 0.0 → 46.5forecast component 51.0 → 30.0
  8. BtoDindex 25 → 682d ago
    Country rating changed from B to D (score 25 → 68)Current dominant event: Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 27.4 → 100.0population component 40.1 → 100.0forecast component 39.0 → 51.0
  9. AtoBindex 9 → 25Green → Yellow3d ago
    Country rating changed from A to B (score 9 → 25)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Viento Moderado a Fuerte en zonas de la región de Antofagasta (CalamityScore 37); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 27.4population component 0.0 → 40.1forecast component 37.5 → 39.0
  10. CtoAindex 55 → 9Yellow → Green4d ago
    Country rating changed from C to A (score 55 → 9)Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 36); cause of change not attributedseverity component 72.8 → 7.2population component 100.0 → 0.0forecast component 42.0 → 37.5
  11. DtoCindex 66 → 556d ago
    Country rating changed from D to C (score 66 → 55)Current dominant event: Probables Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 72.8
  12. CtoDindex 60 → 667d ago
    Country rating changed from C to D (score 60 → 66)Current dominant event: Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Valparaíso a la región del Maule (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 83.4 → 100.0forecast component 43.5 → 42.0
  13. DtoCindex 68 → 608d ago
    Country rating changed from D to C (score 68 → 60)Current dominant event: Probables Tormentas Eléctricas en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región del Biobío (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 83.4forecast component 51.0 → 43.5
  14. DtoDindex 61 → 688d ago
    Activity score changed from 61 to 68Current dominant event: Precipitaciones Moderadas a Fuertes en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región de O'Higgins (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 91.6 → 100.0forecast component 31.5 → 51.0
  15. AtoDindex 10 → 61Green → Yellow9d ago
    Country rating changed from A to D (score 10 → 61)Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Precipitaciones Moderadas a Fuertes en zonas desde la región de Coquimbo a la región de O'Higgins (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.0 → 91.6population component 0.0 → 100.0forecast component 32.3 → 31.5
  16. AtoAindex 12 → 10Yellow → Green11d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality — Coyhaique II, Chile (CalamityScore 29); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.4 → 13.0forecast component 42.0 → 32.3
  17. AtoAindex 9 → 12Green → Yellow12d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 14.4forecast component 37.5 → 42.0
  18. AtoAindex 14 → 9Yellow → Green12d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.2 → 7.2population component 2.0 → 0.0forecast component 32.3 → 37.5
  19. AtoAindex 9 → 14Green → Yellow12d ago
    Operational status changed from green to yellowCurrent dominant event: Unhealthy Air Quality (AQI 155) (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 7.2 → 21.2population component 0.0 → 2.0forecast component 37.5 → 32.3
  20. AtoAindex 11 → 9Yellow → Green12d ago
    Operational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Moderate Wildfire (CalamityScore 18); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.8 → 7.2forecast component 33.8 → 37.5