CriticalSolar StormCS: 51 · v5

Solar Storm G3

NASA CCMC DONKI

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NASA CCMC DONKI arrived 6 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Reported by NASA CCMC DONKI 6 days ago.

What the source measured

NASA CCMC DONKI reported: Strong geomagnetic storm. Power grid corrections needed, intermittent satellite navigation issues.

How we know

One source: NASA CCMC DONKI. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 51 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Event data

TypeSolar Storm
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)51 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.50/1
Timestamp2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/GST/49066/-1
LicenceUS public domain (NASA) · NASA CCMC DONKI

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: donki. Occurrence: 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-10-13T19:31:12.397Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score breakdown

60
intensity
80
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
30
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical details

ScaleG3
KpIndex7
EventTypegeomagnetic_storm
DonkiId2026-10-10T15:00:00-GST-001
PowerGridRiskmoderate
GpsRiskdegraded
RadioRiskintermittent
Soho Lasco ActivityId2026-10-10T16:15:00-CME-001
Soho Lasco SpeedKms1553
Soho Lasco HalfAngleDeg45
Soho Lasco IsHalotrue
Soho Lasco EarthDirectedfalse
Soho Lasco EventTypecme
Soho Lasco NoteCME observed to the NW in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and GOES CCOR-1, with a full halo shock. Not yet observed in STEREO A COR2 white light imagery. The source is AR 14549, associated with an M6.4 flare peaking at 2026-10-10T15:10Z observed in SDO AIA 131. Also observed starting around 2026-10-10T15:04Z as fi
MergedSources[{"id":"soho_lasco_2026_10_10T12_23_00_CME_001","source":"soho_lasco","severity":"low","severityValue":35,"timestamp":1791634980000,"latitude":0,"longitude":0},{"id":"soho_lasco_2026_10_10T16_15_00_CME_001","source":"soho_lasco","severity":"critical","severityValue":90,"timestamp":1791648900000,"latitude":0,"longitude":0}]

Safety information

What to do in a solar storm

A solar storm is not dangerous to people on the ground: it can disturb power, radio and satellite navigation. What to do, from FEMA’s Ready.gov.

For this reportSolar Storm

  1. Nothing to fear outdoors

    The atmosphere protects people on the ground; you may even see an aurora.

    NOAA SWPC
  2. Be ready for a power cut

    Torch, batteries, charged phone, and a plan for medical devices that need power.

    Ready.gov
  3. Do not rely only on GPS

    Satellite navigation and radio can be wrong or drop out for a while.

    Ready.gov

Before, during, after. Here it is “after”.

Before · When a storm is forecast

  • Charge what matters

    Phones and power banks.

  • Medicines and devices

    Ask your doctor how to store medicines and run devices without power.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

During · During the storm

  • Save electricity

    If authorities ask, to avoid rolling blackouts.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

After · After a long power cut

  • Check the food

    Throw away what stayed above 4 °C for more than two hours.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

If a life is in danger

Call your local emergency number

Questions people ask

Is a solar storm dangerous for my health?

No, not on the ground. It concerns power grids, satellites, radio and, at high latitudes, aircraft crews. Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center.

Will I see the northern lights?

In strong storms the aurora can be seen far from the poles. Look north (south in the southern hemisphere) on a dark, clear night.