Calamity
highWildfireCalamity Score: 44

Wildfire near Gilgil

KenyaNASA FIRMS (VIIRS)

Recorded by satellite today.

A thermal anomaly is a snapshot of one satellite pass, not a record of a fire’s life: we cannot say whether it kept burning after that pass.

What the source measured

NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) reported 16 fire pixels with a combined fire radiative power of 155 MW, at nominal confidence, 2 km from Gilgil.

The 16 pixels cover about 2.2 km² — that is the footprint of the detection grid at 375 m resolution, not an estimate of how much land burned.

FIRMS does not report burned area, and neither do we.

An estimated 54,344 people live within 20 km of this point.

How we know

One source: NASA FIRMS (VIIRS). Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 44 out of 100, at 74 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeWildfire
Severityhigh
Calamity Score (ours)44 / 100
Our confidence74%
Coordinates-0.5117, 36.3348
Nearest CityGilgil (2 km)
Population Exposed54.3K within 20 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-08-30T11:10:00.000Z

Score Breakdown

60
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
30
historical

Technical Details

Brightness354.73
Frp154.74
PixelCount16
Confidencenominal

Safety Information

If a wildfire is approaching: follow evacuation orders immediately. Do not wait to see the fire. Close all windows and doors, remove combustible materials from around your home, and have an emergency go-bag ready. Air quality can deteriorate rapidly even at distance from the fire front — monitor local air quality advisories.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a fire event with CalamityScore 44/100, near Gilgil (Kenya), based on data from firms. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 194 scientific monitoring sources.