Calamity
criticalWildfireCalamity Score: 55

Wildfires near Mpika

KanchibiyaZambiaNASA FIRMS (VIIRS)

Recorded by satellite yesterday.

A thermal anomaly is a snapshot of one satellite pass, not a record of a fire’s life: we cannot say whether it kept burning after that pass.

It is the 6th strongest of the 59 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 June 2026. The last comparable one was on 30 August 2026.

What the source measured

NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) reported 139 fire pixels with a combined fire radiative power of 1450 MW, at high confidence, 28 km from Mpika.

The 139 pixels cover about 19.5 km² — that is the footprint of the detection grid at 375 m resolution, not an estimate of how much land burned.

FIRMS does not report burned area, and neither do we.

An estimated 27,485 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 12 June 2026

How we know

One source: NASA FIRMS (VIIRS). Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 55 out of 100, at 74 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeWildfire
Severitycritical
Calamity Score (ours)55 / 100
Our confidence74%
Coordinates-11.9501, 31.2193
Nearest CityMpika (28 km)
Population Exposed27.5K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-08-31T10:49:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs;@31.219,-11.950,9z

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
48
historical

Technical Details

Brightness367
Frp1450.42
PixelCount139
Confidencehigh

Safety Information

If a wildfire is approaching: follow evacuation orders immediately. Do not wait to see the fire. Close all windows and doors, remove combustible materials from around your home, and have an emergency go-bag ready. Air quality can deteriorate rapidly even at distance from the fire front — monitor local air quality advisories.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a fire event with CalamityScore 55/100, near Mpika (Zambia), based on data from firms. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.