Rating
Zambia risk rating
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-20 00:18:57 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-20 02:18:57 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Recorded hazard contributions
Mean event index: 41/100 · Eligible records: 51
Rating history
- CtoDindex 53 → 6210h agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 53 → 62)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 17.7 → 61.2
Country rating changed from C to D (score 53 → 62). Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributed. population component 17.7 → 61.2. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — ZM Detected: 2026-10-19T12:10:00.000Z CalamityScore: 64/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 125,190 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: ZM. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- DtoCindex 69 → 531d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 53)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 17.7
- DtoDindex 62 → 691d agoActivity score changed from 62 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 62.4 → 100.0
- DtoDindex 69 → 621d agoActivity score changed from 69 to 62Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 62.4
- CtoDindex 57 → 692d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 57 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 39.6 → 100.0
- CtoCindex 51 → 572d agoActivity score changed from 51 to 57Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 9.1 → 39.6
- CtoCindex 57 → 512d agoActivity score changed from 57 to 51Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 54); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 37.1 → 9.1
- DtoCindex 69 → 573d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 57)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 37.1
- DtoDindex 61 → 693d agoActivity score changed from 61 to 69Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 55.8 → 100.0
- CtoDindex 60 → 613d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 60 → 61)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 59); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 52.1 → 55.8
- DtoCindex 69 → 603d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 69 → 60)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 100.0 → 52.1
- CtoDindex 52 → 695d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 52 → 69)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 64); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 13.1 → 100.0
- CtoCindex 59 → 526d agoActivity score changed from 59 to 52Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 58); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 46.3 → 13.1
- CtoCindex 50 → 596d agoActivity score changed from 50 to 59Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 2.1 → 46.3
- DtoCindex 62 → 507d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 62 → 50)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 60.6 → 2.1
- CtoDindex 59 → 627d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 59 → 62)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 46.2 → 60.6
- CtoCindex 54 → 597d agoActivity score changed from 54 to 59Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 24.4 → 46.2
- CtoCindex 59 → 547d agoActivity score changed from 59 to 54Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 46.2 → 24.4
- CtoCindex 52 → 597d agoActivity score changed from 52 to 59Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 13.9 → 46.2
- DtoCindex 61 → 528d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 61 → 52)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 55); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 59.1 → 13.9