Recorded by satellite today.
A thermal anomaly is a snapshot of one satellite pass, not a record of a fire’s life: we cannot say whether it kept burning after that pass.
It is the 53rd strongest of the 107 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 May 2026. The last comparable one was on 11 August 2026.
What the source measured
NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) reported 105 fire pixels with a combined fire radiative power of 1224 MW, at high confidence, 26 km from Ndola.
The 105 pixels cover about 14.7 km² — that is the footprint of the detection grid at 375 m resolution, not an estimate of how much land burned.
FIRMS does not report burned area, and neither do we.
An estimated 726,842 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 12 May 2026
- June 8, 2026 · score 27 · 1.9 km
- June 2, 2026 · score 27 · 4.3 km
- July 7, 2026 · score 67 · 4.4 km
How we know
One source: NASA FIRMS (VIIRS). Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 68 out of 100, at 74 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Wildfire |
| Severity | critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 68 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 74% |
| Coordinates | -12.8030, 28.4670 |
| Nearest City | Ndola (26 km) |
| Population Exposed | 726.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | catastrophic |
| Timestamp | 2026-08-31T12:29:00.000Z |
| Source | https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs;@28.467,-12.803,9z |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Brightness | 367 |
| Frp | 1223.83 |
| PixelCount | 105 |
| Confidence | high |
Safety Information
If a wildfire is approaching: follow evacuation orders immediately. Do not wait to see the fire. Close all windows and doors, remove combustible materials from around your home, and have an emergency go-bag ready. Air quality can deteriorate rapidly even at distance from the fire front — monitor local air quality advisories.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a fire event with CalamityScore 68/100, near Ndola (Zambia), based on data from firms. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.