Calamity
criticalFireCalamity Score: 53

Large Wildfire

29d agoNamwalaZambiaSource: firms

37 fire pixels detected · FRP: 515 MW · ~5.2 km²

Geographic Context

This fire event occurred near Namwala (approximately 34 km away) in Zambia, an area that experiences a range of natural hazards. An estimated 330 people live within 35 km of the event location, placing this in the "minor" population impact tier.

Event Assessment

This event is a large-scale wildfire with a fire radiative power (FRP) of 515 MW, indicating extreme heat output and rapid fire spread. Calamity.live has classified it as "critical" severity with a severity value of 88.541. The computed Calamity Score is 53 out of 100, reflecting a moderate-impact event. The primary scoring components are: intensity (80), cascading (70), historical (40). Data for this event was sourced from firms, one of the 196 scientific monitoring sources aggregated by Calamity.live.

Regional Monitoring Context

Zambia has a documented history of fire events. Wildfire activity in the region is monitored through NASA FIRMS (Fire Information for Resource Management System), which provides near-real-time active fire data from MODIS and VIIRS satellites. Fire behavior is influenced by vegetation type, moisture content, wind patterns, and terrain — all factors that determine whether an initial ignition becomes a major event.

Cascade Risk Analysis

This event may trigger secondary hazards through cascade effects. Cascade detection is an automated process that evaluates how primary disasters can trigger secondary events — for example, earthquakes triggering landslides, or volcanic eruptions causing lahars and pyroclastic flows. These secondary hazards can sometimes pose a greater threat than the initial event, particularly in mountainous terrain or densely populated areas.

Event Data

TypeFire
Severitycritical
Severity Value88.541
Calamity Score53 / 100
Confidence84%
Coordinates-15.4609, 26.3294
Nearest CityNamwala (34 km)
Population Exposed330 within 35 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-07-31T11:23:00.000Z

Score Breakdown

80
intensity
10
population
70
cascading
40
historical

Technical Details

Brightness367
Frp515.41
PixelCount37
Confidencehigh
Area Km25.180000000000001

Cascade Risks

cascade

Safety Information

If a wildfire is approaching: follow evacuation orders immediately. Do not wait to see the fire. Close all windows and doors, remove combustible materials from around your home, and have an emergency go-bag ready. Air quality can deteriorate rapidly even at distance from the fire front — monitor local air quality advisories.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a fire event with CalamityScore 53/100, near Namwala (Zambia), based on data from firms. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 196 scientific monitoring sources.