Recorded by satellite 110 days ago.
A thermal anomaly is a snapshot of one satellite pass, not a record of a fire’s life: we cannot say whether it kept burning after that pass.
It is the 4th strongest of the 76 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 7 May 2026. The last comparable one was on 11 May 2026. 11 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) reported 21 fire pixels with a combined fire radiative power of 266 MW, at high confidence, 51 km from Mahajanga.
The 21 pixels cover about 2.9 km² — that is the footprint of the detection grid at 375 m resolution, not an estimate of how much land burned.
FIRMS does not report burned area, and neither do we.
Nearby, since 7 May 2026
- July 28, 2026 · score 27 · 2.7 km
- August 3, 2026 · score 27 · 3.0 km
- May 13, 2026 · score 45 · 3.2 km
How we know
One source: NASA FIRMS (VIIRS). Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 45 out of 100, at 64 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Wildfire |
| Severity | high |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 45 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 64% |
| Coordinates | -15.4634, 46.7165 |
| Nearest City | Mahajanga (51 km) |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Date | 2026-05-12 — time not reported by the source |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Brightness | 367 |
| Frp | 265.55 |
| PixelCount | 21 |
| Confidence | high |
Cascade Risks
Safety Information
If a wildfire is approaching: follow evacuation orders immediately. Do not wait to see the fire. Close all windows and doors, remove combustible materials from around your home, and have an emergency go-bag ready. Air quality can deteriorate rapidly even at distance from the fire front — monitor local air quality advisories.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a fire event with CalamityScore 45/100, near Mahajanga (Madagascar), based on data from firms. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 194 scientific monitoring sources.