Persistent heat source near Al Jubayl
Right now
The most recent data we hold from NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) arrived 3 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
6 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 2 km from here.
The satellite has seen heat at this spot on 31 earlier days since 7 May 2026, in 6 of the twelve months of the year. Heat that is there in every season usually comes from industry (a steelworks, a refinery flare, a gas field) or from routine burning, not from a wildfire. NASA's data do not say which.
Recorded by satellite 2 days ago.
A thermal anomaly is a snapshot of one satellite pass, not a record of a fire’s life: we cannot say whether it kept burning after that pass.
It is the 4th strongest of the 97 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 8 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 3 October 2026. 52 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) reported 27 fire pixels with a combined fire radiative power of 106 MW, at high confidence, 5 km from Al Jubayl.
The 27 pixels cover about 3.8 km² — that is the footprint of the detection grid at 375 m resolution, not an estimate of how much land burned.
FIRMS does not report burned area, and neither do we.
Urban PEI: 201,576 within a heuristic 35 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 8 March 2026
- June 5, 2026 · 0.1 km
- May 27, 2026 · 0.2 km
- September 30, 2026 · score 39 · 0.3 km
How we know
One source: NASA FIRMS (VIIRS). Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Event data
| Type | Persistent heat source |
| Severity | Low |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 48 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.74/1 |
| Coordinates | 27.0373, 49.5705 |
| Nearest city | Al Jubayl (5 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 201.6K within 35 km |
| Impact tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-10-04T09:37:00.000Z |
| Source | https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs;@49.571,27.037,9z |
| Licence | US public domain (NASA) · NASA FIRMS (LANCE) |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: firms. Occurrence: 2026-10-04T09:37:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-14T00:18:21.349Z. Material modification: 2026-10-04T11:40:56.334Z.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
2026-10-04T11:40:56.334Z · model change
Index 18 → 48; severity Medium → Low; version 4 → 5.
Score breakdown
Technical details
| Brightness | 367 |
| Frp | 105.97 |
| PixelCount | 27 |
| Confidence | high |
Safety information
Heat shows up at this spot regularly, which usually means an industrial plant or routine burning rather than a wildfire. Nothing on this page is an alert. In a real emergency, follow local authorities.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
In the news nearby
A list of links found by GDELT for this place and this hazard in the last seven days. External, not ours: we have not read them and do not vouch for them.
No news is listed: GDELT was not available when this page was rendered.
GDELT Project · gdeltproject.org