Right now

The most recent data we hold from NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) arrived 3 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Wind forecast for this point: from SW at 14 km/h at 09:00 UTC, according to MET Norway.

5 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.

The satellite has seen heat at this spot on 38 earlier days since 9 March 2026, in 7 of the twelve months of the year. Heat that is there in every season usually comes from industry (a steelworks, a refinery flare, a gas field) or from routine burning, not from a wildfire. NASA's data do not say which.

Recorded by satellite yesterday.

A thermal anomaly is a snapshot of one satellite pass, not a record of a fire’s life: we cannot say whether it kept burning after that pass.

No stronger detection stands among the 30 recorded within 20 km of this point since 9 March 2026 — 4 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 9 October 2026. 16 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) reported 25 fire pixels with a combined fire radiative power of 43 MW, at nominal confidence, 2 km from Ereğli.

The 25 pixels cover about 3.5 km² — that is the footprint of the detection grid at 375 m resolution, not an estimate of how much land burned.

FIRMS does not report burned area, and neither do we.

Urban PEI: 102,109 within a heuristic 35 km radius; not unique people.

How we know

One source: NASA FIRMS (VIIRS). Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Wind: MET Norway Locationforecast, CC BY 4.0.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Event data

Type	Persistent heat source
Severity	Low
Calamity Score (ours)	39 / 100
Legacy data-support index	0.74/1
Coordinates	41.2613, 31.4227
Nearest city	Ereğli (2 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)	102.1K within 35 km
Impact tier	minor
Timestamp	2026-10-10T11:10:00.000Z
Source	https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs;@31.423,41.261,9z
Licence	US public domain (NASA) · NASA FIRMS (LANCE)

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: firms. Occurrence: 2026-10-10T11:10:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-08-07T13:34:21.322Z. Material modification: 2026-10-10T13:31:34.239Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

2026-10-10T13:31:34.239Z · data change
Index 18 → 39.
2026-10-09T03:30:17.908Z · data change
Severity Medium → Low.

1 retained revision changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.

Safety information

Heat shows up at this spot regularly, which usually means an industrial plant or routine burning rather than a wildfire. Nothing on this page is an alert. In a real emergency, follow local authorities.

In the news nearby

A list of links found by GDELT for this place and this hazard in the last seven days. External, not ours: we have not read them and do not vouch for them.

No news is listed: GDELT was not available when this page was rendered.

GDELT Project · gdeltproject.org

Brightness	334.97
Frp	42.79
PixelCount	25
Confidence	nominal

Persistent heat source near Ereğli, Türkiye