Calamity
CriticalWildfiresCS: 77 · v1

Wildfires near Lyman

UkraineNASA FIRMS (VIIRS)

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) arrived 1 minute ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

Recorded by satellite 72 days ago.

A thermal anomaly is a snapshot of one satellite pass, not a record of a fire’s life: we cannot say whether it kept burning after that pass.

It is the 2nd strongest of the 114 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 7 May 2026. The last comparable one was on 3 July 2026. 24 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) reported 82 fire pixels with a combined fire radiative power of 1242 MW, at high confidence, 17 km from Lyman.

The 82 pixels cover about 11.5 km² — that is the footprint of the detection grid at 375 m resolution, not an estimate of how much land burned.

FIRMS does not report burned area, and neither do we.

Urban PEI: 85,310 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Wind from ENE at 13 km/h at 22:00 UTC, according to MET Norway.

Nearby, since 7 May 2026

How we know

One source: NASA FIRMS (VIIRS). Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 77 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Wind: MET Norway Locationforecast, CC BY 4.0.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Under rules v1–v3, Critical for a wildfire measured only the radiative power the satellite saw, not the people near it; since v4 (1 September 2026) it also requires exposed population. This page keeps the word it was published with.

Event Data

TypeWildfires
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)77 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.84/1
Coordinates49.1390, 37.7265
Nearest CityLyman (17 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)85.3K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Date2026-07-04 — time not reported by the source
Sourcehttps://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs;@37.726,49.139,9z

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: firms. Occurrence: 2026-07-04 — time not reported.

First archived: 2026-07-04T00:00:11.372Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

95
intensity
55
Urban PEI term
70
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

Brightness367
Frp1242.14
PixelCount82
Confidencehigh

Cascade Risks

air quality emergency
debris flow

Safety Information

If a wildfire is approaching: follow evacuation orders immediately. Do not wait to see the fire. Close all windows and doors, remove combustible materials from around your home, and have an emergency go-bag ready. Air quality can deteriorate rapidly even at distance from the fire front — monitor local air quality advisories.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Follow this area

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In the news nearby

A list of links found by GDELT for this place and this hazard in the last seven days. External, not ours: we have not read them and do not vouch for them.

No news is listed: GDELT was not available when this page was rendered.

GDELT Project · gdeltproject.org

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