Right now
The most recent data we hold from GDACS arrived 16 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
Reported by GDACS 63 days ago.
It is the only one we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 July 2026.
What the source measured
GDACS reported: From 01/07/2026 to 11/07/2026, a Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 287 km/h) BAVI-26 was active in NWPacific. The cyclone affects these countries: Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Japan, Taiwan, China (vulnerability Medium). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 35.288 million . · Severity: Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 111 km/h) · Pop. affected: Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 35.288 million
Urban PEI: 1,683,693 within a heuristic 100 km radius; not unique people.
How we know
One source: GDACS. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 71 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Cyclones |
| Severity | Critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 71 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.80/1 |
| Coordinates | 28.7000, 120.4000 |
| Nearest City | Xianju (36 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 1.7M within 100 km |
| Impact Tier | catastrophic |
| Date | 2026-07-15 — time not reported by the source |
| Source | https://www.gdacs.org/report.aspx?eventtype=TC&eventid=1001279 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: gdacs. Occurrence: 2026-07-15 — time not reported.
First archived: 2026-07-15T21:56:26.614Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| EventType | TC |
| AlertLevel | Red |
| Country | Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Japan, Taiwan, China |
| Population | Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 35.288 million |
| FromRSS | true |
Safety Information
During a tropical cyclone: shelter in a sturdy interior room away from windows. Stock emergency supplies including water, food, medications, and flashlights. Do not venture outdoors during the eye of the storm. After passage, beware of downed power lines, flooding, and structural damage. Follow official guidance for evacuation and shelter.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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