MediumCyclonesCS: 11 · v5

Cyclones

JTWC

Right now

The most recent data we hold from JTWC arrived 84 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

Reported by JTWC today.

It is the only one we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 25 September 2026.

What the source measured

JTWC reported: Tropical Storm Surigae (25W), JTWC warning 9. Max sustained winds 45 kt (1-minute average), near 20.7N 129.3E at 250600Z.

How we know

2 recorded sources include JTWC; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 11 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeCyclones
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)11 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.55/1
Coordinates20.7000, 129.3000
Nearest CityMiyakojima (612 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 100 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-09-25T06:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2526web.txt

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: jtwc. Occurrence: 2026-09-25T06:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-25T11:35:18.373Z. Material modification: 2026-09-25T11:56:43.766Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-09-25T11:56:43.766Z · data_change

    Index 11 → 11; severity medium → medium; version 5 → 5.

Score Breakdown

25
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
13
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

NameSurigae
StormIdWP252026
Basinwp
WarningNumber9
FinalWarningfalse
WindKts45
WindSpeedKt45
WindMph52
WindAveraging1-minute
TypeLabelTropical Storm
Eonet CategorySevere Storms
Eonet MagnitudeValue45
Eonet MagnitudeUnitkts
Eonet WindSpeedKt45
Eonet GeometryCount7
Eonet EonetIdEONET_24787
MergedSources[{"id":"eonet_EONET_24787","source":"eonet","severity":"medium","severityValue":35.5,"timestamp":1790316000000,"latitude":20.7,"longitude":129.3}]

Safety Information

During a tropical cyclone: shelter in a sturdy interior room away from windows. Stock emergency supplies including water, food, medications, and flashlights. Do not venture outdoors during the eye of the storm. After passage, beware of downed power lines, flooding, and structural damage. Follow official guidance for evacuation and shelter.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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