Calamity
MediumCyclonesCS: 11 · v5

Cyclones

NHC

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NHC arrived 5 hours ago, and this point is in it.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.

Reported by NHC today.

It is one of only 2 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 19 September 2026. The last comparable one was on 19 September 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NHC reported: Tropical Storm Fay. Max winds: 46 mph. Pressure: 1004 mb. Movement: 20.

How we know

One source: NHC. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 11 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeCyclones
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)11 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.62/1
Coordinates33.7000, -33.1000
Nearest CityPonta Delgada (807 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 100 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: nhc. Occurrence: 2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-19T15:01:08.380Z. Material modification: 2026-09-20T08:47:25.781Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-09-20T13:09:47.195Z · data_change

    Index 1111; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  2. 2026-09-20T13:04:24.823Z · data_change

    Index 1111; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  3. 2026-09-20T12:00:20.898Z · data_change

    Index 1111; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  4. 2026-09-20T11:54:58.100Z · data_change

    Index 1111; severity mediummedium; version 55.

  5. 2026-09-20T08:47:25.781Z · data_change

    Index 1111; severity lowmedium; version 55.

  6. 2026-09-20T07:43:07.676Z · data_change

    Index 1111; severity lowlow; version 55.

  7. 2026-09-20T07:37:47.366Z · data_change

    Index 1111; severity lowlow; version 55.

  8. 2026-09-20T02:54:38.889Z · data_change

    Index 1111; severity lowlow; version 55.

  9. 2026-09-20T02:44:04.124Z · data_change

    Index 1111; severity lowlow; version 55.

Score Breakdown

25
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
13
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

NameFay
StormIdal062026
MaxWindMph46
Category0
Pressure1004
Movement20
TypeLabelTropical Storm

Safety Information

During a tropical cyclone: shelter in a sturdy interior room away from windows. Stock emergency supplies including water, food, medications, and flashlights. Do not venture outdoors during the eye of the storm. After passage, beware of downed power lines, flooding, and structural damage. Follow official guidance for evacuation and shelter.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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