Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 37 · v5

Severe Weather near Kerch

UkraineMETEOALARM

Right now

The most recent data we hold from METEOALARM arrived 6 hours ago, and this point is in it.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert is in force until 15 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.

It is one of only 2 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 6 September 2026. The last comparable one was on 6 September 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

METEOALARM reported: MeteoAlarm carries a moderate warning for Kerch-Feodosia region, Ports of Mariupol and Berdyansk, Strait of Kerch, Western Sea of Azov (Wind warning). Issued by the national meteorological service of Ukraine. Placed at Kerch, the nearest settlement in the warned area; the warning itself covers the whole area.

Urban PEI: 148,932 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 6 September 2026

How we know

One source: METEOALARM. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)37 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.69/1
Coordinates45.3600, 36.4800
Nearest CityKerch (0 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)148.9K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-14T18:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://meteoalarm.org?region=UA

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: meteoalarm. Occurrence: 2026-09-14T18:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-14T13:24:28.950Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventWind warning
CapSeverityModerate
CapCertaintyLikely
CapUrgencyFuture
AreaDescKerch-Feodosia region, Ports of Mariupol and Berdyansk, Strait of Kerch, Western Sea of Azov
CountryCodeUA
CountryUkraine
Expires2026-09-15T18:00:00+00:00
PlacedAtKerch
Placementarea-name-component

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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