Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 8 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.
This alert expired on 30 September 2026 at 04:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 7 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 August 2026 — 6 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 6 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 29 at 10:17PM CDT until September 29 at 11:45PM CDT by NWS Midland/Odessa TX
Nearby, since 15 August 2026
- September 6, 2026 · 19.3 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 16 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.60/1 |
| Coordinates | 29.4122, -103.7049 |
| Nearest City | Manuel Ojinaga (71 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-30T03:17:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.bdab00dc04a85b21b0bfcb720bf0de51c98bee2c.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-30T03:17:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-09-30T01:56:21.761Z. Material modification: 2026-09-30T03:21:54.032Z.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
4 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| MessageId | urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bdab00dc04a85b21b0bfcb720bf0de51c98bee2c.001.1 |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Brewster, TX; Presidio, TX |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 29 at 10:17PM CDT until September 29 at 11:45PM CDT by NWS Midland/Odessa TX |
| Expires | 2026-09-29T23:45:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Midland/Odessa TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.301c22961cd72403d5ac471ab2aa0827690041d8.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e24edd92ea4f1c23c22bb351fa30f930c2929921.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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