Rating
Mexico risk rating
Activity gradeBindex 38.0/100
Operational statusOrange
Last updated16m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-15 22:41:24 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-16 00:41:24 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity19.0/100
Scenario weight100.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI0.0/100
CFI activity proxy36.8/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Air Quality
Mean event index: 36/100 · Eligible records: 1
Cyclone
Mean event index: 30/100 · Eligible records: 2
Rating history
- BtoBindex 27 → 364h agoActivity score changed from 27 to 36Current dominant event: Category 1 Hurricane Trudy (CalamityScore 34); cause of change not attributed3 new cascade alert(s)severity component 5.0 → 11.8cascade component 80.0 → 100.0forecast component 33.0 → 43.0
Activity score changed from 27 to 36. Current dominant event: Category 1 Hurricane Trudy (CalamityScore 34); cause of change not attributed. 3 new cascade alert(s). severity component 5.0 → 11.8. cascade component 80.0 → 100.0. forecast component 33.0 → 43.0. Context: EVENT: Category 1 Hurricane Trudy — MX Detected: 2026-10-15T18:00:00.000Z CalamityScore: 34/100 Severity: high CONTEXT: Country: MX. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- BtoBindex 36 → 275h agoActivity score changed from 36 to 27Current dominant event: Tropical Storm Simon (CalamityScore 25); cause of change not attributedseverity component 11.8 → 5.0cascade component 100.0 → 80.0forecast component 43.0 → 33.0
- BtoBindex 27 → 3613h agoActivity score changed from 27 to 36Current dominant event: Category 1 Hurricane Trudy (CalamityScore 34); cause of change not attributed3 new cascade alert(s)severity component 5.0 → 11.8cascade component 80.0 → 100.0forecast component 33.0 → 43.0
- BtoBindex 34 → 2716h agoActivity score changed from 34 to 27Current dominant event: Tropical Storm Simon (CalamityScore 25); cause of change not attributedseverity component 8.2 → 5.0cascade component 100.0 → 80.0forecast component 40.5 → 33.0
- AtoBindex 10 → 34Yellow → Orange1d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 10 → 34)Operational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Category 2 Hurricane Simon (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributed3 new cascade alert(s)cascade component 0.0 → 100.0population component 6.7 → 0.0forecast component 39.0 → 40.5
- AtoAindex 14 → 10Orange → Yellow3d agoOperational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Category 2 Hurricane Simon (CalamityScore 41); cause of change not attributedseverity component 10.6 → 8.2population component 20.6 → 6.7
- BtoAindex 39 → 143d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 39 → 14)Current dominant event: Category 3 Hurricane Simon (CalamityScore 53); cause of change not attributedseverity component 13.6 → 10.6cascade component 88.0 → 0.0population component 24.2 → 20.6forecast component 46.0 → 39.0
- CtoBindex 43 → 393d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 43 → 39)Current dominant event: Category 3 Hurricane Simon (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributedpopulation component 45.4 → 24.2
- CtoCindex 53 → 433d agoActivity score changed from 53 to 43Current dominant event: Category 3 Hurricane Simon (CalamityScore 68); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 16.4 → 13.6cascade component 70.0 → 88.0population component 100.0 → 45.4forecast component 57.0 → 46.0
- AtoCindex 18 → 53Green → Orange4d agoCountry rating changed from A to C (score 18 → 53)Operational status changed from green to orangeCurrent dominant event: Category 4 Hurricane Simon (CalamityScore 82); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 6.4 → 16.4cascade component 0.0 → 70.0population component 47.1 → 100.0forecast component 39.0 → 57.0
- CtoAindex 55 → 18Orange → Green4d agoCountry rating changed from C to A (score 55 → 18)Operational status changed from orange to greenCurrent dominant event: Cyclone Rachel (CalamityScore 32); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.0 → 6.4cascade component 70.0 → 0.0population component 100.0 → 47.1forecast component 60.0 → 39.0
- CtoCindex 49 → 554d agoActivity score changed from 49 to 55Current dominant event: Category 4 Hurricane Simon (CalamityScore 78); cause of change not attributedseverity component 17.8 → 22.0population component 78.9 → 100.0
- CtoCindex 55 → 494d agoActivity score changed from 55 to 49Current dominant event: Category 4 Hurricane Simon (CalamityScore 78); cause of change not attributedseverity component 22.0 → 17.8population component 97.6 → 78.9
- CtoCindex 47 → 554d agoActivity score changed from 47 to 55Current dominant event: Category 4 Hurricane Simon (CalamityScore 78); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.4 → 22.0population component 64.5 → 97.6
- CtoCindex 42 → 474d agoActivity score changed from 42 to 47Current dominant event: Category 4 Hurricane Simon (CalamityScore 78); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.8 → 19.4population component 43.6 → 64.5
- BtoCindex 34 → 424d agoCountry rating changed from B to C (score 34 → 42)Current dominant event: Category 4 Hurricane Simon (CalamityScore 73); cause of change not attributedseverity component 14.6 → 16.8population component 11.0 → 43.6forecast component 57.0 → 60.0
- AtoBindex 10 → 345d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 10 → 34)Current dominant event: Category 4 Hurricane Simon (CalamityScore 73); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 8.8 → 14.6cascade component 0.0 → 70.0population component 2.3 → 11.0forecast component 39.0 → 57.0
- AtoAindex 8 → 10Yellow → Orange5d agoOperational status changed from yellow to orangeCurrent dominant event: Category 3 Hurricane Simon (CalamityScore 44); cause of change not attributedseverity component 5.0 → 8.8population component 0.0 → 2.3forecast component 37.5 → 39.0
- BtoAindex 35 → 8Orange → Yellow6d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 35 → 8)Operational status changed from orange to yellowCurrent dominant event: Category 2 Hurricane Simon (CalamityScore 25); cause of change not attributedseverity component 19.2 → 5.0cascade component 70.0 → 0.0population component 0.7 → 0.0forecast component 61.5 → 37.5
- AtoBindex 16 → 356d agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 16 → 35)Current dominant event: SIMON-26 (CalamityScore 60); cause of change not attributed1 new cascade alert(s)severity component 20.8 → 19.2cascade component 0.0 → 70.0population component 1.4 → 0.7forecast component 49.5 → 61.5