Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 39 · v1

Severe Weather near Chatham

CanadaNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 6 hours ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 4 July 2026 at 00:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is one of only 3 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 3 July 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued July 3 at 7:57PM EDT until July 3 at 8:30PM EDT by NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI

Urban PEI: 76,541 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 3 July 2026

How we know

3 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)39 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.89/1
Coordinates42.3353, -82.1322
Nearest CityChatham (9 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)76.5K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-03T23:57:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.23b16ff1e0dfa7b66239861b39681744

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-03T23:57:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-07-04T00:10:46.796Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescSt. Clair River; Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI; Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron 5NM Off Shore to US/Canadian border; Vermilion to Avon Point OH; Avon Point to Willowick OH; Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued July 3 at 7:57PM EDT until July 3 at 8:30PM EDT by NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI
Expires2026-07-03T20:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Detroit/Pontiac MI
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.23b16ff1e0dfa7b66239861b39681744df1b9d52.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2e4303a7dd612886a5996e6013694eded55a0b42.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryG
Iem Magnitude63
Iem Unitmph
Iem CityChesterfield
Iem CountyMacomb
Iem StateMI
Iem WfoDTX
Iem RemarkMeasured on a handheld anemometer
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_G_42.620_-82.830_1783120680000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783120680000,"latitude":42.62,"longitude":-82.83},{"id":"iem_G_42.660_-82.840_1783120380000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783120380000,"latitude":42.66,"longitude":-82.84}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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