Rating
Canada risk rating
Activity gradeBindex 32.0/100
Operational statusGreen
Last updated9m ago
Current assessment · Model activity-rating-2
Computed: 2026-10-19 17:27:57 UTC · Valid until: 2026-10-19 19:27:57 UTC
Coverage is selective. Missing or expired assessments do not mean zero hazard. Scores are heuristic indices, not calibrated probabilities. Model cards and limits
- state:
- partial
- missing Country:
- unassessed
- country Limit:
- 100
- forecast:
- assessed
- population Metric:
- urban event exposures not unique people
The rating is a composite index of reported activity; it does not measure structural vulnerability or coping capacity. It shares inputs with the Calamity Forecast Index. Neither index is a calibrated event probability. Model cards and formulas.
Rating components
Summed event intensity11.4/100
Scenario weight0.0/100
Cumulative urban PEI100.0/100
CFI activity proxy49.5/100
Recorded hazard contributions
Fire
Mean event index: 57/100 · Eligible records: 1
Rating history
- BtoBindex 36 → 34Yellow → Green5h agoOperational status changed from yellow to greenCurrent dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 21.0 → 17.8
Operational status changed from yellow to green. Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributed. severity component 21.0 → 17.8. Context: EVENT: Extended satellite heat detection — CA Detected: 2026-10-19T07:48:00.000Z CalamityScore: 57/100 Severity: medium URBAN EXPOSURE INDEX: 1,323,134 weighted city population units; not unique people or a census of the affected area CONTEXT: Country: CA. Consult current official local emergency instructions. This automated index does not issue evacuation orders. No scenario matched the configured rules; this does not establish absence of risk.
- AtoBindex 14 → 366h agoCountry rating changed from A to B (score 14 → 36)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 57); cause of change not attributedseverity component 16.0 → 21.0population component 0.0 → 100.0forecast component 48.0 → 48.8
- AtoAindex 20 → 148h agoActivity score changed from 20 to 14Current dominant event: yellow warning - wind - in effect (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 32.0 → 16.0
- BtoAindex 24 → 2018h agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 24 → 20)Current dominant event: yellow warning - wind - in effect (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 41.6 → 32.0
- BtoBindex 29 → 2421h agoActivity score changed from 29 to 24Current dominant event: yellow warning - wind - in effect (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 54.4 → 41.6
- BtoBindex 24 → 291d agoActivity score changed from 24 to 29Current dominant event: yellow warning - wind - in effect (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 41.6 → 54.4
- CtoBindex 60 → 241d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 60 → 24)Current dominant event: yellow warning - wind - in effect (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 81.2 → 41.6population component 100.0 → 0.0
- DtoCindex 68 → 601d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 68 → 60)Current dominant event: yellow advisory - frost - in effect (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 100.0 → 81.2forecast component 54.0 → 48.0
- CtoDindex 58 → 681d agoCountry rating changed from C to D (score 58 → 68)Current dominant event: yellow advisory - frost - in effect (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 76.8 → 100.0forecast component 48.0 → 54.0
- DtoCindex 67 → 581d agoCountry rating changed from D to C (score 67 → 58)Current dominant event: yellow advisory - frost - in effect (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 98.2 → 76.8forecast component 49.5 → 48.0
- BtoDindex 39 → 672d agoCountry rating changed from B to D (score 39 → 67)Current dominant event: yellow advisory - frost - in effect (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 31.2 → 98.2forecast component 46.5 → 49.5
- CtoBindex 41 → 392d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 41 → 39)Current dominant event: yellow advisory - frost - in effect (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 34.4 → 31.2
- AtoCindex 12 → 412d agoCountry rating changed from A to C (score 12 → 41)Current dominant event: yellow advisory - frost - in effect (CalamityScore 46); cause of change not attributedseverity component 12.8 → 34.4population component 0.0 → 100.0
- AtoAindex 19 → 122d agoActivity score changed from 19 to 12Current dominant event: yellow warning - wind - in effect (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 15.6 → 12.8cascade component 32.0 → 0.0forecast component 32.5 → 46.5
- BtoAindex 26 → 192d agoCountry rating changed from B to A (score 26 → 19)Current dominant event: yellow warning - wind - in effect (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 18.4 → 15.6cascade component 52.0 → 32.0forecast component 34.5 → 32.5
- BtoBindex 31 → 262d agoActivity score changed from 31 to 26Current dominant event: yellow warning - wind - in effect (CalamityScore 16); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.2 → 18.4forecast component 38.3 → 34.5
- BtoBindex 37 → 312d agoActivity score changed from 37 to 31Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 46.2 → 30.2
- BtoBindex 31 → 372d agoActivity score changed from 31 to 37Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 30.2 → 46.2
- BtoBindex 37 → 312d agoActivity score changed from 37 to 31Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 46.2 → 30.2
- CtoBindex 42 → 373d agoCountry rating changed from C to B (score 42 → 37)Current dominant event: Extended satellite heat detection (CalamityScore 43); cause of change not attributedseverity component 59.0 → 46.2