Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 19 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.
This alert expired on 2 October 2026 at 06:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is one of only 2 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 9 May 2026. The last comparable one was on 11 May 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued October 2 at 12:04AM CDT until October 2 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS Brownsville TX
Urban PEI: 119,055 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 9 May 2026
- October 2, 2026 · score 37 · 0.0 km
- May 9, 2026 · 9.8 km
- May 10, 2026 · 14.6 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 37 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.81/1 |
| Coordinates | 26.3500, -98.7383 |
| Nearest City | Ciudad Miguel Alemán (30 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 119.1K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-10-02T05:04:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.83b466cf9adb796bf5e80f497e9e835ac043d3b0.001.1 |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-10-02T05:04:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-10-02T02:30:28.561Z. Material modification: 2026-10-02T05:08:50.926Z.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
1 retained revision changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| MessageId | urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.83b466cf9adb796bf5e80f497e9e835ac043d3b0.001.1 |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Starr, TX |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued October 2 at 12:04AM CDT until October 2 at 1:00AM CDT by NWS Brownsville TX |
| Expires | 2026-10-02T01:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Brownsville TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.
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