MediumSolar StormCS: 33 · v5

Solar Storm G2

NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center

Reported by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center 31 days ago.

What the source measured

NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center reported: Space Weather Message Code: WARK05 Serial Number: 2268 Issue Time: 2026 Oct 04 1850 UTC EXTENDED WARNING: Geomagnetic K-index of 5 expected Extension to Serial Number: 2267 Valid From: 2026 Oct 04 1110 UTC Now Valid Until: 2026 Oct 05 0300 UTC Warning Condition: Persistence Extended with issuan

How we know

2 recorded sources include NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 33 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Event data

TypeSolar Storm
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)33 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.67/1
Timestamp2026-10-04T18:50:12.297Z
Sourcehttps://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings
LicenceUS public domain · NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: swpc. Occurrence: 2026-10-04T18:50:12.297Z.

First archived: 2026-10-04T18:57:13.692Z. Material modification: 2026-10-04T19:29:02.053Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score breakdown

40
intensity
50
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
20
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical details

ScaleG2
KpIndex6
CurrentKp4.33
GLevel2
PowerGridRiskminor
GpsRiskminor
RadioRiskfade
HighRiskRegions["High-latitude regions (>60°)"]
EventTypegeomagnetic_storm
Gfz Kp KpIndex5.67
Gfz Kp LatestKp5.67
Gfz Kp GScale1
Gfz Kp GScaleLabelG1 — Minor
Gfz Kp MaxKpToday5.67
Gfz Kp AllKpValues[3,3.333,4.333,5,4.667,4.667,5.667]
Gfz Kp EventTypegeomagnetic_storm
MergedSources[{"id":"gfz_kp_20261004","source":"gfz_kp","severity":"low","severityValue":30,"timestamp":1791136800000,"latitude":0,"longitude":0}]

Safety information

What to do in a solar storm

A solar storm is not dangerous to people on the ground: it can disturb power, radio and satellite navigation. What to do, from FEMA’s Ready.gov.

For this reportSolar Storm

  1. Nothing to fear outdoors

    The atmosphere protects people on the ground; you may even see an aurora.

    NOAA SWPC
  2. Be ready for a power cut

    Torch, batteries, charged phone, and a plan for medical devices that need power.

    Ready.gov
  3. Do not rely only on GPS

    Satellite navigation and radio can be wrong or drop out for a while.

    Ready.gov

Before, during, after. Here it is “after”.

Before · When a storm is forecast

  • Charge what matters

    Phones and power banks.

  • Medicines and devices

    Ask your doctor how to store medicines and run devices without power.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

During · During the storm

  • Save electricity

    If authorities ask, to avoid rolling blackouts.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

After · After a long power cut

  • Check the food

    Throw away what stayed above 4 °C for more than two hours.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

If a life is in danger

Call your local emergency number

Questions people ask

Is a solar storm dangerous for my health?

No, not on the ground. It concerns power grids, satellites, radio and, at high latitudes, aircraft crews. Source: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center.

Will I see the northern lights?

In strong storms the aurora can be seen far from the poles. Look north (south in the southern hemisphere) on a dark, clear night.