Calamity
LowEarthquakesCS: 5 · v5

Earthquakes 251 km E of Lospalos, Timor Leste

Timor-LesteUSGS

Right now

The most recent data we hold from USGS arrived 40 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

2 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.

Reported by USGS today.

It is one of only 3 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 September 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

USGS reported: 251 km E of Lospalos, Timor Leste

USGS recorded magnitude 4.5 at a depth of 10 km.

Nearby, since 15 September 2026

How we know

3 recorded sources include USGS; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 5 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeEarthquakes
SeverityLow
Calamity Score (ours)5 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.71/1
Coordinates-8.3244, 129.2771
Nearest CityLospalos (251 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 30 km
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-09-15T14:16:11.033Z
Sourcehttps://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us7000thlq

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: usgs. Occurrence: 2026-09-15T14:16:11.033Z.

First archived: 2026-09-15T18:58:33.793Z. Material modification: 2026-09-16T01:14:16.363Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-09-16T01:14:16.363Z · data_change

    Index 125; severity lowlow; version 55.

  2. 2026-09-16T00:52:44.519Z · data_change

    Index 512; severity lowlow; version 55.

  3. 2026-09-15T22:07:25.598Z · data_change

    Index 55; severity lowlow; version 55.

  4. 2026-09-15T22:01:54.646Z · data_change

    Index 55; severity lowlow; version 55.

  5. 2026-09-15T20:54:17.928Z · data_change

    Index 55; severity lowlow; version 55.

  6. 2026-09-15T19:25:54.739Z · data_change

    Index 55; severity lowlow; version 55.

  7. 2026-09-15T19:20:27.550Z · data_change

    Index 55; severity lowlow; version 55.

Score Breakdown

10
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
5
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

Mag4.5
Depth10
Tsunamifalse
Sig312
Emsc Mag4.5
Emsc Depth10
Emsc MagTypemb
Emsc RegionKEPULAUAN BABAR, INDONESIA
Emsc AuthNEIC
Emsc SourceId2060706
Gfz Mag4.76
Gfz Depth10
Gfz MagTypemb
Gfz RegionTimor Sea
MergedSources[{"id":"emsc_20260915_0000177","source":"emsc","severity":"low","severityValue":27,"timestamp":1789481771033,"latitude":-8.3244,"longitude":129.2771},{"id":"gfz_gfz2026scqn","source":"gfz","severity":"low","severityValue":28.56,"timestamp":1789481772090,"latitude":-8.381,"longitude":129.1}]

Safety Information

If you feel shaking: Drop, Cover, and Hold On. Move away from windows, heavy objects, and exterior walls. After shaking stops, check for injuries and structural damage. Be prepared for aftershocks, which can occur minutes to months after the mainshock. Follow instructions from local emergency management authorities.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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