What this warning means, and where it is in force now: Frost advisories in Canada

MediumSevere WeatherCS: 41 · v5

Frost — Soulanges area

CanadaEnvironment and Climate Change Canada

Right now

The most recent data we hold from Environment and Climate Change Canada arrived 3 hours ago.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This page covers the record dated 21 October 2026. Browse recent observations in this area:

Distance and hazards
Only these hazards

Tick none to hear about every hazard.

One message per event, not per detection. We send a confirmation first, and every message carries a link to stop them. We store the address and the place, nothing else.

Official warning

The issuing authority declared this warning over on 21 October 2026 at 09:26 UTC. Its original text remains below.

Highest level recorded: Moderate.

Level in this notice: Moderate.

Environment Canada

yellow advisory - frost - in effect

Temperatures will drop to near or below the freezing mark overnight tonight. ### Damage to plants, trees, and crops is possible. Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to QCstorm@ec.gc.ca or post reports on social media using #QCStorm.

Closing notice from the authority

yellow advisory - frost - ended

Widespread frost is no longer expected. ###

This alert expired on 21 October 2026 at 09:26 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is one of only 3 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 13 October 2026. The last comparable one was on 18 October 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

Environment and Climate Change Canada reported: Temperatures will drop to near or below the freezing mark overnight tonight. ### Damage to plants, trees, and crops is possible. Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to QCstorm@ec.gc.ca or post reports on social media using #QCStorm.

Urban PEI: 724,867 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 13 October 2026

How we know

One source: Environment and Climate Change Canada. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 41 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Event data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)41 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.68/1
Coordinates45.3623, -74.3151
Nearest cityLes Coteaux (11 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)724.9K within 50 km
Impact tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-10-21T04:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://dd.weather.gc.ca/today/alerts/cap/20261021/CWUL/03/T_WOCN10_C_CWUL_202610210302_3142571480.cap
LicenceECCC Data Services End-use Licence 2.1.1 · Environment and Climate Change Canada · Grouped by area and warning; CAP severity mapped; map location derived from alert geometry. Original warning text preserved.

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: cap_ca_eccc. Occurrence: 2026-10-21T04:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-10-19T20:30:41.771Z. Material modification: 2026-10-21T03:39:08.024Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score breakdown

35
intensity
85
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical details

Eventfrost
AreaDescSoulanges area
Geocodes[{"name":"layer:EC-MSC-SMC:1.0:CLC","value":"032510"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"2471005"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"2471015"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"2471020"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"2471025"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"2471033"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"2471110"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"2471115"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"2471125"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"2471133"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"2471140"}]
Onset2026-10-21T04:00:00-00:00
Effective2026-10-21T03:08:50-00:00
Expires2026-10-21T09:26:53-00:00
TimeBasisonset
LocalDay20261021
WarningGeometry{"polygons":[[[[-74.3682,45.5879],[-74.327,45.5526],[-74.2035,45.5479],[-74.1932,45.5476],[-74.2106,45.4572],[-74.2509,45.3095],[-74.2137,45.282],[-74.1933,45.2669],[-74.1372,45.1974],[-74.2197,45.1597],[-74.2925,45.1522],[-74.3059,45.1508],[-74.3067,45.1519],[-74.3427,45.205],[-74.3627,45.2198],[-74.4292,45.2706],[-74.4384,45.2766],[-74.4526,45.2857],[-74.4538,45.2865],[-74.472,45.3027],[-74.4648,45.3562],[-74.4349,45.4028],[-74.4271,45.4958],[-74.4024,45.5344],[-74.3682,45.5879]]]],"circles":[]}
CapTimeZoneAmerica/Toronto
CapDayBasisarea-centroid-timezone
CapSeverityModerate
DailyPeakCapSeverityModerate
CapUrgencyFuture
CapCertaintyLikely
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyLikely
Headlineyellow advisory - frost - in effect
Description Temperatures will drop to near or below the freezing mark overnight tonight. ### Damage to plants, trees, and crops is possible. Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to QCstorm@ec.gc.ca or post reports on social media using #QCStorm.
SenderNameEnvironment Canada

Safety information

What to do in a winter storm or extreme cold

Three things first, then what to do before, during and after. From FEMA’s Ready.gov and the US National Weather Service.

For this reportSevere Weather · Les Coteaux

  1. Stay off the roads

    Travel only if you must. If you are stuck in a car, stay in it, run the engine a few minutes an hour with the exhaust clear of snow.

    Ready.gov
  2. Heat safely

    Never heat the house with an oven, a barbecue or a generator indoors: carbon monoxide kills without warning.

    Ready.gov
  3. Watch for frostbite and hypothermia

    Numb, white or greyish skin; shivering, confusion, slurred speech. Get warm and get help.

    Ready.gov

Before, during, after. Here it is “after”.

Before · When a storm or a cold wave is forecast

  • Supplies for several days

    Water, food, medicines, torches, batteries.

  • A kit in the car

    Blankets, water, snacks, jump leads; keep the tank full.

  • Carbon monoxide alarm

    Install and test one, with the smoke alarms.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

During · In the storm or the cold

  • Layers

    Several warm layers, hat and gloves; limit time outside.

  • Shovel slowly

    Hard effort in the cold strains the heart.

  • Generators outdoors

    At least six metres from windows and doors.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

After · When it passes

  • Warm frostbite gently

    With body heat or warm (not hot) water; do not rub.

  • Warm hypothermia from the core

    Chest, neck, head and groin first, in dry blankets.

  • Check on others

    Older people, children and pets.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

Questions people ask

How do I recognise hypothermia?

Shivering, exhaustion, confusion, fumbling hands, memory loss, slurred speech, drowsiness. Get the person warm and call for help. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).

Can I use a gas oven to heat the house?

No. Ovens, barbecues and generators indoors produce carbon monoxide, which kills without warning. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).

Should I stay in a car stuck in snow?

Yes: it is shelter, and people are found more easily with their car. Keep the exhaust pipe clear of snow. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).

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