MediumSevere WeatherCS: 16 · v5

Severe Weather in Canada

CanadaCAP CA ECCC

Right now

The most recent data we hold from CAP CA ECCC arrived 23 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

Distance and hazards
Only these hazards

Tick none to hear about every hazard.

One message per event, not per detection. We send a confirmation first, and every message carries a link to stop them. We store the address and the place, nothing else.

Official warning

Highest level recorded for this local day: Moderate.

Level in this notice: Minor.

Environment Canada

yellow advisory - frost - ended

Widespread frost is no longer expected. ###

This alert is in force until 7 October 2026, 08:47 UTC.

It is the only one we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 7 October 2026.

What the source measured

CAP CA ECCC reported: Widespread frost is no longer expected. ###

How we know

One source: CAP CA ECCC. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Event data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)16 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.44/1
Coordinates47.1327, -66.3517
Nearest cityMiramichi (65 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 50 km
Impact tierminor
Timestamp2026-10-07T07:47:57.000Z
Sourcehttps://dd.weather.gc.ca/today/alerts/cap/20261007/CWHX/07/T_WOCN14_C_CWHX_202610070747_2284673438.cap
LicenceECCC Data Services End-use Licence 2.1.1 · Environment and Climate Change Canada · Grouped by area and local day; CAP severity mapped; map location derived from alert geometry. Original warning text preserved.

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: cap_ca_eccc. Occurrence: 2026-10-07T07:47:57.000Z.

First archived: 2026-10-06T15:17:00.602Z. Material modification: 2026-10-07T07:59:39.274Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

6 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.

Score breakdown

35
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical details

Eventfrost
AreaDescMount Carleton - Renous Highway
Geocodes[{"name":"layer:EC-MSC-SMC:1.0:CLC","value":"017400"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"1309011"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"1309018"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"1309021"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"1309023"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"1309026"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"1309028"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"1309034"}]
Onset2026-10-07T07:47:57-00:00
Effective2026-10-07T07:47:57-00:00
Expires2026-10-07T08:47:57-00:00
TimeBasiseffective
LocalDay20261007
CapTimeZoneAmerica/Moncton
CapDayBasisarea-centroid-timezone
CapSeverityMinor
DailyPeakCapSeverityModerate
CapUrgencyPast
CapCertaintyObserved
UrgencyPast
CertaintyObserved
Headlineyellow advisory - frost - ended
Description Widespread frost is no longer expected. ###
SenderNameEnvironment Canada
Languageen-CA

Safety information

What to do in a winter storm or extreme cold

Three things first, then what to do before, during and after. From FEMA’s Ready.gov and the US National Weather Service.

For this reportSevere Weather · Canada

  1. Stay off the roads

    Travel only if you must. If you are stuck in a car, stay in it, run the engine a few minutes an hour with the exhaust clear of snow.

    Ready.gov
  2. Heat safely

    Never heat the house with an oven, a barbecue or a generator indoors: carbon monoxide kills without warning.

    Ready.gov
  3. Watch for frostbite and hypothermia

    Numb, white or greyish skin; shivering, confusion, slurred speech. Get warm and get help.

    Ready.gov

Before, during, after. Here it is still “during”.

Before · When a storm or a cold wave is forecast

  • Supplies for several days

    Water, food, medicines, torches, batteries.

  • A kit in the car

    Blankets, water, snacks, jump leads; keep the tank full.

  • Carbon monoxide alarm

    Install and test one, with the smoke alarms.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

During · In the storm or the cold

  • Layers

    Several warm layers, hat and gloves; limit time outside.

  • Shovel slowly

    Hard effort in the cold strains the heart.

  • Generators outdoors

    At least six metres from windows and doors.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

After · When it passes

  • Warm frostbite gently

    With body heat or warm (not hot) water; do not rub.

  • Warm hypothermia from the core

    Chest, neck, head and groin first, in dry blankets.

  • Check on others

    Older people, children and pets.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

Questions people ask

How do I recognise hypothermia?

Shivering, exhaustion, confusion, fumbling hands, memory loss, slurred speech, drowsiness. Get the person warm and call for help. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).

Can I use a gas oven to heat the house?

No. Ovens, barbecues and generators indoors produce carbon monoxide, which kills without warning. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).

Should I stay in a car stuck in snow?

Yes: it is shelter, and people are found more easily with their car. Keep the exhaust pipe clear of snow. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).

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