Tropical storm — West Scotian Slope
Right now
The most recent data we hold from Environment and Climate Change Canada arrived 3 hours ago.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
Official warning
The issuing authority declared this warning over on 23 October 2026 at 10:57 UTC. Its original text remains below.
Highest level recorded: Moderate.
Level in this notice: Moderate.
Environment Canada
tropical cyclone information statement in effect
Subtropical Storm Josephine - centre is about 300 km southeast of Cape Cod moving northeast (3 p.m. ADT Thursday).
This is the 2nd bulletin from the CHC on this storm which is forecast to transform back to a non-tropical low later today while intensifying and bringing up to hurricane-force winds over southern Canadian waters. The centre will track eastward well south of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland.
Periods of rain will continue to spread across parts of Nova Scotia today and southeastern Newfoundland later today. Gusty northeast winds will accompany the rain tonight but this weather is primarily associated with a developing front and only indirectly connected to Josephine.
This bulletin is geographically set for portions of the Maritimes Marine district slope waters nearest to the track of the storm.
A CHC-specific track/intensity forecast is not planned since the storm will be sub-tropical for only a short period before quick transition to frontal system this evening. Another update to this bulletin is planned for Friday morning.
Forecaster: Fogarty
###
Please continue to monitor alerts issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre and forecasts issued by Environment Canada.
Closing notice from the authority
tropical cyclone information statement ended
This alert expired on 23 October 2026 at 10:57 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the only one we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 21 October 2026.
What the source measured
Environment and Climate Change Canada reported: Subtropical Storm Josephine - centre is about 300 km southeast of Cape Cod moving northeast (3 p.m. ADT Thursday). This is the 2nd bulletin from the CHC on this storm which is forecast to transform back to a non-tropical low later today while intensifying and bringing up to hurricane-force winds over southern Canadian waters. The centre will track eastward well south of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland. Periods of rain will continue to spread across parts of Nova Scotia today and southeastern Newfoundland later today. Gusty northeast winds will accompany the rain tonight but this weather is primarily associated with a developing front and only indirectly connected to Josephine. This bulletin is geographically set for portions of the Maritimes Marine district slope waters nearest to the track of the storm. A CHC-specific track/intensity forecast is not planned since the storm will be sub-tropical for only a short period before quick transition to frontal system this evening. Another update to this bulletin is planned for Friday morning. Forecaster: Fogarty ### Please continue to monitor alerts issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre and forecasts issued by Environment Canada.
How we know
One source: Environment and Climate Change Canada. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 16 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Event data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 16 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.44/1 |
| Coordinates | 41.5241, -64.0976 |
| Nearest city | Halifax South End (348 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-10-21T21:00:00.000Z |
| Source | https://dd.weather.gc.ca/today/alerts/cap/20261022/CWHX/18/T_WOCN3X_C_CWHX_202610221803_2900966510.cap |
| Licence | ECCC Data Services End-use Licence 2.1.1 · Environment and Climate Change Canada · Grouped by area and warning; CAP severity mapped; map location derived from alert geometry. Original warning text preserved. |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: cap_ca_eccc. Occurrence: 2026-10-21T21:00:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-10-21T21:49:32.908Z. Material modification: 2026-10-22T18:36:17.372Z.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score breakdown
Technical details
| Event | tropical storm |
| AreaDesc | West Scotian Slope |
| Geocodes | [{"name":"layer:EC-MSC-SMC:1.0:CLC","value":"003280"},{"name":"profile:CAP-CP:Location:0.3","value":"none"}] |
| Onset | 2026-10-22T17:55:00-00:00 |
| Effective | 2026-10-22T18:16:13-00:00 |
| Expires | 2026-10-23T10:57:08-00:00 |
| TimeBasis | onset |
| LocalDay | 20261022 |
| WarningGeometry | {"polygons":[[[[-63.9081,40.5557],[-64.9992,39.9999],[-65.1867,41.1439],[-65.3306,41.9906],[-65.3321,41.9998],[-64.1493,42.5192],[-64.1486,42.5194],[-63.0117,42.9947],[-62.9991,42.9998],[-62.9991,42.0394],[-62.9991,41.7896],[-62.9991,41.0035],[-62.9991,40.9998],[-63.0099,40.9946],[-63.9081,40.5557]]]],"circles":[]} |
| CapTimeZone | Etc/GMT+4 |
| CapDayBasis | area-centroid-timezone |
| CapSeverity | Moderate |
| DailyPeakCapSeverity | Moderate |
| CapUrgency | Future |
| CapCertainty | Possible |
| Urgency | Future |
| Certainty | Possible |
| Headline | tropical cyclone information statement in effect |
| Description | Subtropical Storm Josephine - centre is about 300 km southeast of Cape Cod moving northeast (3 p.m. ADT Thursday). This is the 2nd bulletin from the CHC on this storm which is forecast to transform back to a non-tropical low later today while intensifying and bringing up to hurricane-force winds over southern Canadian waters. The centre will track eastward well south of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland. Periods of rain will continue to spread across parts of Nova Scotia today and southeastern Newfoundland later today. Gusty northeast winds will accompany the rain tonight but this weather is primarily associated with a developing front and only indirectly connected to Josephine. This bulletin is geographically set for portions of the Maritimes Marine district slope waters nearest to the track of the storm. A CHC-specific track/intensity forecast is not planned since the storm will be sub-tropical for only a short period before quick transition to frontal system this evening. Another update to this bulletin is planned for Friday morning. Forecaster: Fogarty ### Please continue to monitor alerts issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. |
| SenderName | Environment Canada |
Safety information
What to do in a tropical cyclone
Three things first, then how little water it takes, and what to do before, during and after. From FEMA’s Ready.gov and the US National Hurricane Center.
For this reportSevere Weather · Canada
Leave if you are told to
If you live in an evacuation zone and authorities order it, go at once. Water kills most: storm surge, the sea pushed ashore, and flooding rain.
Ready.gov · NHCShelter in an inner room
Away from windows, on the lowest floor that will not flood. If water rises, go up, never into a closed attic.
Ready.govStay in when the wind drops
The calm of the eye can last minutes before the wind returns from the other side.
Ready.gov · NHC
It takes very little moving water
Moving water. Figures from the US National Weather Service, “Turn Around Don’t Drown”. Person, car and water are drawn to the same scale.
Before, during, after. Here it is “after”.
Before · When a cyclone is forecast
Know your evacuation zone
And the route out of it.
Prepare the house
Bring in outdoor furniture, clear gutters, protect windows.
Supplies for several days
Water, food, medicines, torches, batteries, phone chargers.
Help your neighbours
Especially older people and those who need assistance.
Ready.gov (FEMA)
During · While the storm passes
Stay indoors
Inner room, away from windows.
Never into floodwater
Fifteen centimetres of moving water can knock you down, thirty can carry your car.
Keep listening
Official alerts and local radio.
Ready.gov (FEMA)
After · When the storm has passed
Keep away from power lines
And from anything touching them.
Generators outdoors only
Their fumes kill indoors.
Avoid floodwater
It can carry sewage, chemicals and electricity.
Messages, not calls
Keep lines free for emergencies.
Ready.gov (FEMA)
Questions people ask
What is storm surge?
The sea pushed onto land by the storm’s wind. It is often the greatest threat to life in a tropical cyclone, and can flood far inland. Source: US National Hurricane Center.
Cyclone, hurricane, typhoon: what is the difference?
The same storm with different names by ocean: hurricane in the Atlantic and north-east Pacific, typhoon in the north-west Pacific, cyclone in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific.
Is the calm in the middle the end?
No. It is the eye; the wind returns from the opposite side, often as strong. Stay indoors. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.