MediumSatellite heat detectionCS: 43 · v5

Satellite heat detection in Zambia

MufumbweZambiaNASA FIRMS (VIIRS)

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) arrived 14 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Wind forecast for this point: from E at 15 km/h at 00:00 UTC, according to MET Norway.

3 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest 12 km from here.

Distance and hazards
Only these hazards

Tick none to hear about every hazard.

One message per event, not per detection. We send a confirmation first, and every message carries a link to stop them. We store the address and the place, nothing else.

Recorded by satellite yesterday.

A thermal anomaly is a snapshot of one satellite pass, not a record of a fire’s life: we cannot say whether it kept burning after that pass.

It is the 4th strongest of the 61 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 13 June 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 35 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) reported 100 fire pixels with a combined fire radiative power of 1051 MW, at high confidence, 79 km from Kaoma.

The 100 pixels cover about 14.0 km² — that is the footprint of the detection grid at 375 m resolution, not an estimate of how much land burned.

FIRMS does not report burned area, and neither do we.

Nearby, since 13 June 2026

How we know

One source: NASA FIRMS (VIIRS). Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Wind: MET Norway Locationforecast, CC BY 4.0.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Archived as “High” under the rule in force until 4 October 2026, which read the radiative power and the people nearby. A satellite sees heat, not an emergency: since then every detection is shown as low or medium; this one as “Medium”.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Event data

TypeSatellite heat detection
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.54/1
Coordinates-14.4483, 25.4483
Nearest cityKaoma (79 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 50 km
Impact tierminor
Timestamp2026-10-03T12:10:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs;@25.448,-14.448,9z
LicenceUS public domain (NASA) · NASA FIRMS (LANCE)

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: firms. Occurrence: 2026-10-03T12:10:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-10-03T14:06:10.037Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score breakdown

95
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
48
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical details

Brightness367
Frp1051.17
PixelCount100
Confidencehigh

Safety information

What to do near a wildfire

A satellite saw heat here. It cannot tell a wildfire from a controlled burn or an industrial flame, and it sees nothing under thick cloud. If you see smoke or flames, call the local emergency number and follow the fire service. Evacuation orders come from local authorities, not from this page.

For this reportSatellite heat detection · Zambia

  1. Leave when told, early

    When authorities order an evacuation, go at once. Do not wait to see the flames: fire moves faster than you can run.

    Ready.gov
  2. Trapped? Call for help

    Call the emergency number and give your location. Stay in a building or a car rather than in the open, with doors and windows shut.

    Ready.gov
  3. Protect yourself from smoke

    Stay indoors with windows closed, use an air purifier if you have one, and wear an N95/FFP2 mask outside.

    AirNow · Ready.gov

Before, during, after. Here it is still “during”.

Before · In fire season

  • Get the alerts

    Official alerts on your phone, so an evacuation order reaches you.

  • Plan two ways out

    Know two routes away from home and practise them.

  • Clear around the house

    Remove dry leaves, wood and anything that burns from around the walls.

  • A bag by the door

    Documents, medicines, chargers, masks, water.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

During · While the fire is near

  • Go at once if ordered

    Follow the routes authorities give.

  • Shut the smoke out

    Close windows and doors; set the air conditioning to recirculate.

  • Keep outdoor effort low

    Smoke harms lungs and heart, most of all in children, older people and those with asthma.

Ready.gov (FEMA) · AirNow

After · When the fire has passed

  • Return when it is declared safe

    Roads, trees and power lines can still be dangerous.

  • Beware hot spots

    Ash and the ground can stay hot enough to burn for days.

  • Clean up protected

    Gloves, long sleeves, sturdy shoes and a mask; wet the ash before moving it.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

If a life is in danger

Call your local emergency number

Questions people ask

Does a satellite detection mean a wildfire?

Not always. A satellite sees heat: a wildfire, a controlled burn, a flare or an industrial plant. If you see smoke or flames, call the local emergency number and follow the fire service.

Do cloth masks protect from smoke?

Not much. A well-fitting N95 (FFP2 in Europe) filters the fine particles; cloth and surgical masks let most of them through. Source: AirNow (US EPA).

When can I go home?

Only when authorities say the area is safe. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).

Follow this area

Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.

In the news nearby

A list of links found by GDELT for this place and this hazard in the last seven days. External, not ours: we have not read them and do not vouch for them.

No news is listed: GDELT was not available when this page was rendered.

GDELT Project · gdeltproject.org