Recorded by satellite 52 days ago.
A thermal anomaly is a snapshot of one satellite pass, not a record of a fire’s life: we cannot say whether it kept burning after that pass.
It is the 3rd strongest of the 37 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 6 June 2026. The last comparable one was on 8 July 2026. 14 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) reported 29 fire pixels with a combined fire radiative power of 497 MW, at nominal confidence, 21 km from Mmabatho.
The 29 pixels cover about 4.1 km² — that is the footprint of the detection grid at 375 m resolution, not an estimate of how much land burned.
FIRMS does not report burned area, and neither do we.
An estimated 62,559 people live within 35 km of this point.
Nearby, since 6 June 2026
- July 10, 2026 · score 27 · 2.5 km
- July 8, 2026 · score 44 · 4.6 km
- July 10, 2026 · score 44 · 5.9 km
How we know
One source: NASA FIRMS (VIIRS). Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 44 out of 100, at 74 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Wildfire |
| Severity | high |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 44 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 74% |
| Coordinates | -25.9282, 25.4421 |
| Nearest City | Mmabatho (21 km) |
| Population Exposed | 62.6K within 35 km |
| Impact Tier | severe |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-09T11:34:00.000Z |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Brightness | 353.79 |
| Frp | 496.84 |
| PixelCount | 29 |
| Confidence | nominal |
Safety Information
If a wildfire is approaching: follow evacuation orders immediately. Do not wait to see the fire. Close all windows and doors, remove combustible materials from around your home, and have an emergency go-bag ready. Air quality can deteriorate rapidly even at distance from the fire front — monitor local air quality advisories.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a fire event with CalamityScore 44/100, near Mmabatho (South Africa), based on data from firms. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 194 scientific monitoring sources.