Calamity
highWildfireCalamity Score: 40

Wildfire near Ulundi

South AfricaNASA FIRMS (VIIRS)

Recorded by satellite 100 days ago.

A thermal anomaly is a snapshot of one satellite pass, not a record of a fire’s life: we cannot say whether it kept burning after that pass.

It is the 16th strongest of the 64 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 9 May 2026. The last comparable one was on 11 May 2026. 8 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) reported 8 fire pixels with a combined fire radiative power of 148 MW, at nominal confidence, 46 km from Ulundi.

The 8 pixels cover about 1.1 km² — that is the footprint of the detection grid at 375 m resolution, not an estimate of how much land burned.

FIRMS does not report burned area, and neither do we.

Nearby, since 9 May 2026

How we know

One source: NASA FIRMS (VIIRS). Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 40 out of 100, at 48 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeWildfire
Severityhigh
Calamity Score (ours)40 / 100
Our confidence48%
Coordinates-28.4821, 30.9742
Nearest CityUlundi (46 km)
Impact Tierminor
Timestamp2026-05-22T11:30:00.000Z

Score Breakdown

60
intensity
0
population
64
cascading
30
historical

Technical Details

Brightness354.31
Frp147.74
PixelCount8
Confidencenominal

Cascade Risks

air quality emergency

Safety Information

If a wildfire is approaching: follow evacuation orders immediately. Do not wait to see the fire. Close all windows and doors, remove combustible materials from around your home, and have an emergency go-bag ready. Air quality can deteriorate rapidly even at distance from the fire front — monitor local air quality advisories.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a fire event with CalamityScore 40/100, near Ulundi (South Africa), based on data from firms. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 194 scientific monitoring sources.