MediumPossible fireCS: 43 · v5

Possible fire 96 km from Popondetta, Papua New Guinea

Papua New GuineaNASA FIRMS (VIIRS)

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) arrived 3 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, 13 km from here.

33 satellite detections of this fire · 16 – 29 October 2026

A satellite sees a burning fire on each of its passes. This page gathers every detection of this fire; the address of each one leads here.

Day and time (UTC)Radiative powerDistance from the town
29 Oct 15:58464 MW102 km
29 Oct 15:01410 MW105 km
29 Oct 03:55406 MW105 km
28 Oct 16:18955 MW110 km
28 Oct 16:18393 MW105 km
26 Oct 04:10103 MW100 km
25 Oct 16:18253 MW103 km
25 Oct 16:18203 MW98 km
25 Oct 15:33248 MW103 km
25 Oct 04:27162 MW110 km
25 Oct 03:32117 MW112 km
23 Oct 15:14288 MW90 km
23 Oct 04:10286 MW90 km
23 Oct 03:25250 MW88 km
22 Oct 15:33206 MW86 km
22 Oct 15:33596 MW89 km
22 Oct 14:50568 MW89 km
22 Oct 03:45427 MW86 km
21 Oct 15:52456 MW108 km
21 Oct 15:52395 MW90 km
21 Oct 15:07439 MW109 km
21 Oct 04:04355 MW109 km
21 Oct 04:04436 MW109 km
20 Oct 16:11248 MW111 km
20 Oct 16:11401 MW87 km
20 Oct 16:11177 MW89 km
20 Oct 15:29399 MW87 km
20 Oct 04:21294 MW84 km
20 Oct 03:25125 MW103 km
18 Oct 16:031,695 MW91 km

and 3 earlier detections

Distance and hazards
Only these hazards

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One message per event, not per detection. We send a confirmation first, and every message carries a link to stop them. We store the address and the place, nothing else.

Recorded by satellite 21 days ago.

A thermal anomaly is a snapshot of one satellite pass, not a record of a fire’s life: we cannot say whether it kept burning after that pass.

It is the 64th strongest of the 188 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 4 June 2026. The last comparable one was on 15 October 2026. 57 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NASA FIRMS (VIIRS) reported 378 fire pixels with a combined fire radiative power of 2208 MW, at high confidence, 96 km from Popondetta.

The 378 pixels cover about 52.9 km² — that is the footprint of the detection grid at 375 m resolution, not an estimate of how much land burned.

FIRMS does not report burned area, and neither do we.

Nearby, since 4 June 2026

How we know

One source: NASA FIRMS (VIIRS). Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Event data

TypePossible fire
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.54/1
Coordinates-9.3850, 148.8466
Nearest cityPopondetta (96 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 50 km
Impact tierminor
Timestamp2026-10-16T03:55:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#d:24hrs;@148.847,-9.385,9z
LicenceUS public domain (NASA) · NASA FIRMS (LANCE)

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: firms. Occurrence: 2026-10-16T03:55:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-10-16T06:24:41.794Z. Material modification: 2026-10-29T18:13:45.104Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score breakdown

95
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
48
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical details

Brightness367
Frp2208.11
PixelCount378
Confidencehigh

Safety information

What to do near a wildfire

A satellite saw heat here. It cannot tell a wildfire from a controlled burn or an industrial flame, and it sees nothing under thick cloud. If you see smoke or flames, call the local emergency number and follow the fire service. Evacuation orders come from local authorities, not from this page.

For this reportPossible fire · Papua New Guinea

  1. Leave when told, early

    When authorities order an evacuation, go at once. Do not wait to see the flames: fire moves faster than you can run.

    Ready.gov
  2. Trapped? Call for help

    Call the emergency number and give your location. Stay in a building or a car rather than in the open, with doors and windows shut.

    Ready.gov
  3. Protect yourself from smoke

    Stay indoors with windows closed, use an air purifier if you have one, and wear an N95/FFP2 mask outside.

    AirNow · Ready.gov

Before, during, after. Here it is “after”.

Before · In fire season

  • Get the alerts

    Official alerts on your phone, so an evacuation order reaches you.

  • Plan two ways out

    Know two routes away from home and practise them.

  • Clear around the house

    Remove dry leaves, wood and anything that burns from around the walls.

  • A bag by the door

    Documents, medicines, chargers, masks, water.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

During · While the fire is near

  • Go at once if ordered

    Follow the routes authorities give.

  • Shut the smoke out

    Close windows and doors; set the air conditioning to recirculate.

  • Keep outdoor effort low

    Smoke harms lungs and heart, most of all in children, older people and those with asthma.

Ready.gov (FEMA) · AirNow

After · When the fire has passed

  • Return when it is declared safe

    Roads, trees and power lines can still be dangerous.

  • Beware hot spots

    Ash and the ground can stay hot enough to burn for days.

  • Clean up protected

    Gloves, long sleeves, sturdy shoes and a mask; wet the ash before moving it.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

If a life is in danger

Call your local emergency number

Questions people ask

Does a satellite detection mean a wildfire?

Not always. A satellite sees heat: a wildfire, a controlled burn, a flare or an industrial plant. If you see smoke or flames, call the local emergency number and follow the fire service.

Do cloth masks protect from smoke?

Not much. A well-fitting N95 (FFP2 in Europe) filters the fine particles; cloth and surgical masks let most of them through. Source: AirNow (US EPA).

When can I go home?

Only when authorities say the area is safe. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).

Follow this area

Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.

In the news nearby

A list of links found by GDELT for this place and this hazard in the last seven days. External, not ours: we have not read them and do not vouch for them.

No news is listed: GDELT was not available when this page was rendered.

GDELT Project · gdeltproject.org