Calamity
highFireCalamity Score: 48

Large Wildfire

51d agoGrande-SyntheFranceSource: firms

33 fire pixels detected · FRP: 134 MW · ~4.6 km²

Geographic Context

This fire event occurred near Grande-Synthe (approximately 2 km away) in France, a region where Mediterranean garrigue, maritime pine forests, and the dry mistral wind combine to elevate summer wildfire risk, particularly in the south. An estimated 135.7K people live within 35 km of the event location, placing this in the "severe" population impact tier.

Event Assessment

This event is a significant wildfire detected by satellite with a fire radiative power of 134 MW, suggesting active, intense burning across multiple detection pixels. Calamity.live has classified it as "high" severity with a severity value of 59.852000000000004. The computed Calamity Score is 48 out of 100, reflecting a moderate-impact event. The primary scoring components are: population (70), intensity (60), historical (30). Data for this event was sourced from firms, one of the 196 scientific monitoring sources aggregated by Calamity.live.

Regional Monitoring Context

France has a documented history of fire events. Wildfire activity in the region is monitored through NASA FIRMS (Fire Information for Resource Management System), which provides near-real-time active fire data from MODIS and VIIRS satellites. Fire behavior is influenced by vegetation type, moisture content, wind patterns, and terrain — all factors that determine whether an initial ignition becomes a major event.

Cascade Risk Analysis

This event may trigger secondary hazards through cascade effects. Cascade detection is an automated process that evaluates how primary disasters can trigger secondary events — for example, earthquakes triggering landslides, or volcanic eruptions causing lahars and pyroclastic flows. These secondary hazards can sometimes pose a greater threat than the initial event, particularly in mountainous terrain or densely populated areas.

Event Data

TypeFire
Severityhigh
Severity Value59.852000000000004
Calamity Score48 / 100
Confidence74%
Coordinates51.0405, 2.2957
Nearest CityGrande-Synthe (2 km)
Population Exposed135.7K within 35 km
Impact Tiersevere
Timestamp2026-07-09T21:00:00.000Z

Score Breakdown

60
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
30
historical

Technical Details

Brightness353.45
Frp134.26000000000002
PixelCount33
Confidencenominal
Area Km24.62

Cascade Risks

cascade

Safety Information

If a wildfire is approaching: follow evacuation orders immediately. Do not wait to see the fire. Close all windows and doors, remove combustible materials from around your home, and have an emergency go-bag ready. Air quality can deteriorate rapidly even at distance from the fire front — monitor local air quality advisories.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a fire event with CalamityScore 48/100, near Grande-Synthe (France), based on data from firms. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 196 scientific monitoring sources.