Red notification for tropical cyclone BAVI-26. Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 29.29 million .
From 01/07/2026 to 06/07/2026, a Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 287 km/h) BAVI-26 was active in NWPacific. The cyclone affects these countries: Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Japan, Taiwan, China (vulnerability Medium). Estimated population affected by category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 29.29 million . · Severity: Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 213 km/h) · Pop. affected: Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 29.29 million
Geographic Context
This cyclone event occurred near Tamuning-Tumon-Harmon Village (approximately 478 km away) in GU, an area that experiences a range of natural hazards.
Event Assessment
This event is a tropical cyclone system being tracked by meteorological agencies. Calamity.live has classified it as "critical" severity with a severity value of 90. The computed Calamity Score is 44 out of 100, reflecting a moderate-impact event. The primary scoring components are: intensity (90), historical (80). Data for this event was sourced from gdacs, one of the 250 scientific monitoring sources aggregated by Calamity.live.
Regional Monitoring Context
GU has a documented history of cyclone events. Tropical cyclone monitoring for this region relies on data from meteorological agencies including NHC, JTWC, and regional RSMCs. Cyclone intensity forecasting considers sea surface temperature, wind shear, moisture availability, and atmospheric instability patterns.
Event Data
| Type | Cyclone |
| Severity | critical |
| Severity Value | 90 |
| Calamity Score | 44 / 100 |
| Confidence | 55% |
| Coordinates | 15.9000, 141.1000 |
| Nearest City | Tamuning-Tumon-Harmon Village (478 km) |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-06T21:31:52.878Z |
| Source | https://www.gdacs.org/report.aspx?eventtype=TC&eventid=1001279 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| EventType | TC |
| AlertLevel | Red |
| Country | Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Japan, Taiwan, China |
| Population | Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 29.29 million |
| FromRSS | true |
Safety Information
During a tropical cyclone: shelter in a sturdy interior room away from windows. Stock emergency supplies including water, food, medications, and flashlights. Do not venture outdoors during the eye of the storm. After passage, beware of downed power lines, flooding, and structural damage. Follow official guidance for evacuation and shelter.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a cyclone event with CalamityScore 44/100, near Tamuning-Tumon-Harmon Village (GU), based on data from gdacs. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 197 scientific monitoring sources.