CriticalCycloneCS: 60 · v5

Tropical cyclone Simon in Mexico

MexicoGDACS

Right now

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

Distance and hazards
Only these hazards

Tick none to hear about every hazard.

One message per event, not per detection. We send a confirmation first, and every message carries a link to stop them. We store the address and the place, nothing else.

Reported by GDACS 3 days ago.

It is the only one we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 7 October 2026.

What the source measured

GDACS reported: Tropical Cyclone SIMON-26 · Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 231 km/h)

Urban PEI: 6,562 within a heuristic 300 km radius; not unique people.

How we know

One source: GDACS. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 60 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Event data

TypeCyclone
SeverityCritical
Calamity Score (ours)60 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.92/1
Coordinates15.8000, -104.5000
Nearest cityCiudad Lázaro Cárdenas (343 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)6.6K within 300 km
Impact tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-10-07T15:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://www.gdacs.org/report.aspx?eventid=1001335&episodeid=8&eventtype=TC
Licenceno licence published · GDACS (European Commission JRC)

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: gdacs. Occurrence: 2026-10-07T15:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-10-07T16:08:16.343Z. Material modification: 2026-10-09T09:16:14.771Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-10-09T09:16:14.771Z · data change

    Index 38 → 60; severity High → Critical.

  2. 2026-10-09T05:02:35.257Z · data change

    Index 25 → 38.

  3. 2026-10-09T04:57:16.931Z · data change

    Index 38 → 25.

  4. 2026-10-09T03:30:14.792Z · data change

    Index 50 → 38.

  5. 2026-10-08T20:56:19.276Z · data change

    Index 64 → 50; severity Critical → High.

  6. 2026-10-08T17:23:44.369Z · data change

    Index 68 → 64.

  7. 2026-10-08T14:52:20.680Z · data change

    Index 64 → 68.

  8. 2026-10-08T13:21:04.003Z · data change

    Index 68 → 64.

  9. 2026-10-08T13:04:56.465Z · data change

    Index 64 → 68.

  10. 2026-10-08T11:19:59.902Z · data change

    Index 68 → 64.

  11. 2026-10-08T10:04:31.841Z · data change

    Index 64 → 68.

  12. 2026-10-08T09:37:48.722Z · data change

    Index 44 → 64; severity High → Critical.

  13. 2026-10-08T09:05:44.079Z · data change

    Index 25 → 44.

4 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.

Score breakdown

85
intensity
25
Urban PEI term
70
Scenario weight
43
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical details

EventTypeTC
AlertLevelRed
AlertScore3
SeverityData{"severity":231.48,"severitytext":"Hurricane/Typhoon > 74 mph (maximum wind speed of 231 km/h)","severityunit":"km/h"}
WindSpeedKt125
IsCurrenttrue

Cascade risks

flooding

Safety information

What to do in a tropical cyclone

Three things first, then how little water it takes, and what to do before, during and after. From FEMA’s Ready.gov and the US National Hurricane Center.

For this reportCyclone · Mexico

  1. Leave if you are told to

    If you live in an evacuation zone and authorities order it, go at once. Water kills most: storm surge, the sea pushed ashore, and flooding rain.

    Ready.gov · NHC
  2. Shelter in an inner room

    Away from windows, on the lowest floor that will not flood. If water rises, go up, never into a closed attic.

    Ready.gov
  3. Stay in when the wind drops

    The calm of the eye can last minutes before the wind returns from the other side.

    Ready.gov · NHC

It takes very little moving water

15cmknock an adult down
30cmcarry away most cars
60cmcarry away SUVs and pick-ups

Moving water. Figures from the US National Weather Service, “Turn Around Don’t Drown”. Person, car and water are drawn to the same scale.

Before, during, after. Here it is “after”.

Before · When a cyclone is forecast

  • Know your evacuation zone

    And the route out of it.

  • Prepare the house

    Bring in outdoor furniture, clear gutters, protect windows.

  • Supplies for several days

    Water, food, medicines, torches, batteries, phone chargers.

  • Help your neighbours

    Especially older people and those who need assistance.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

During · While the storm passes

  • Stay indoors

    Inner room, away from windows.

  • Never into floodwater

    Fifteen centimetres of moving water can knock you down, thirty can carry your car.

  • Keep listening

    Official alerts and local radio.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

After · When the storm has passed

  • Keep away from power lines

    And from anything touching them.

  • Generators outdoors only

    Their fumes kill indoors.

  • Avoid floodwater

    It can carry sewage, chemicals and electricity.

  • Messages, not calls

    Keep lines free for emergencies.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

Questions people ask

What is storm surge?

The sea pushed onto land by the storm’s wind. It is often the greatest threat to life in a tropical cyclone, and can flood far inland. Source: US National Hurricane Center.

Cyclone, hurricane, typhoon: what is the difference?

The same storm with different names by ocean: hurricane in the Atlantic and north-east Pacific, typhoon in the north-west Pacific, cyclone in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific.

Is the calm in the middle the end?

No. It is the eye; the wind returns from the opposite side, often as strong. Stay indoors. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).

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