Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 32

Severe Weather near Hot Springs

GarlandUnited StatesHEAT GOV

Right now

The most recent data we hold from HEAT GOV arrived 24 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert is in force until 9 September 2026, 12:00 UTC.

It is the 75th strongest of the 86 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 1 September 2026.

What the source measured

HEAT GOV reported: * WHAT...Heat index values up to 109 expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, eastern, southeast, southwest, and western Arkansas. * WHEN...For the first Heat Advisory, until 8 PM CDT this evening. For the second Heat Advisory, from 11 AM to 7 PM CDT Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and...

An estimated 89,798 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 15 March 2026

How we know

One source: HEAT GOV. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100, at 69 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)32 / 100
Our confidence69%
Coordinates34.5220, -92.8253
Nearest CityHot Springs (22 km)
Population Exposed89.8K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-09T16:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttp://www.weather.gov

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
18
historical

Technical Details

EventHeat Advisory
UrgencyExpected
CertaintyLikely
Onset2026-09-09T11:00:00-05:00
Expires2026-09-09T07:00:00-05:00
AreaDescConway; Faulkner; Perry; Garland; Saline; Pulaski; Lonoke; Prairie; Monroe; Pike; Clark; Hot Spring; Grant; Jefferson; Arkansas; Dallas; Cleveland; Lincoln; Desha; Ouachita; Calhoun; Bradley; Drew; Southern Johnson County; Southern Pope County; Western and Northern Logan County; Northern Scott County; Northwest Yell County; Polk County Lower Elevations; Central and Eastern Montgomery County; Southern and Eastern Logan County; Central and Southern Scott County; Yell Excluding Northwest; Northern Polk County Higher Elevations; Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations; Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations; Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations
SenderNameNWS Little Rock AR
ZonesUsedForCentroid10
ZoneCount37

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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