Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 32 · v5

Severe Weather near Tahlequah

United StatesHEAT GOV

Right now

The most recent data we hold from HEAT GOV arrived 4 hours ago, and this point is in it.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, 18 km from here.

This alert is in force until 16 September 2026, 06:00 UTC.

It is the 18th strongest of the 38 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 28 April 2026. The last comparable one was on 15 September 2026. 10 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

HEAT GOV reported: * WHAT...Heat index values up to 107 expected. * WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Arkansas and east central, northeast, and southeast Oklahoma. * WHEN...For the first Heat Advisory, until 7 PM CDT this evening. For the second Heat Advisory, from noon to 7 PM CDT Wednesday. * IMPA...

Urban PEI: 55,054 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 28 April 2026

How we know

One source: HEAT GOV. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)32 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.69/1
Coordinates35.7435, -95.0790
Nearest CityTahlequah (22 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)55.1K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttp://www.weather.gov

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: heat_gov. Occurrence: 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-15T17:03:46.575Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-09-15T19:04:02.719Z · data_change

    Index 3232; severity mediummedium; version 55.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventHeat Advisory
UrgencyExpected
CertaintyLikely
Onset2026-09-16T12:00:00-05:00
Expires2026-09-16T01:00:00-05:00
AreaDescNorth and Central Sebastian; Southern Crawford; Central and Southern Franklin; Southern Sebastian; Pushmataha; Choctaw; Washington; Nowata; Craig; Ottawa; Tulsa; Rogers; Mayes; Delaware; Okmulgee; Wagoner; Cherokee; Muskogee; McIntosh; Pittsburg; Haskell; Latimer; Northern Sequoyah; Northern Le Flore; Central and Southern Sequoyah; Central Le Flore; Southern Le Flore
SenderNameNWS Tulsa OK
ZonesUsedForCentroid9
ZoneCount27

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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