This alert is in force until 2 September 2026, 15:30 UTC.
It is the 12th strongest of the 32 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 28 August 2026.
What the source measured
HEAT GOV reported: * WHAT...Heat index values up to 103 expected. * WHERE...In Virginia, Page, Shenandoah, Augusta, Eastern Highland, and Rockingham Counties. In West Virginia, Eastern Grant, Eastern Pendleton, and Hardy Counties. * WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Hot tempera...
An estimated 52,538 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 17 March 2026
- August 7, 2026 · score 39 · 6.2 km
- July 5, 2026 · score 22 · 16.4 km
How we know
One source: HEAT GOV. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 32 out of 100, at 69 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 32 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 69% |
| Coordinates | 38.6417, -79.1746 |
| Nearest City | Harrisonburg (34 km) |
| Population Exposed | 52.5K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-02T15:00:00.000Z |
| Source | http://www.weather.gov |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Heat Advisory |
| Urgency | Expected |
| Certainty | Likely |
| Onset | 2026-09-02T11:00:00-04:00 |
| Expires | 2026-09-02T11:30:00-04:00 |
| AreaDesc | Augusta; Rockingham; Shenandoah; Page; Eastern Highland; Hardy; Eastern Grant; Eastern Pendleton |
| SenderName | NWS Baltimore MD/Washington DC |
| ZonesUsedForCentroid | 5 |
| ZoneCount | 8 |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 32/100 (United States), based on data from heat_gov. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.