Right now
The most recent data we hold from METEOALARM arrived 3 minutes ago, and this point is in it.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert is in force until 5 October 2026, 05:00 UTC.
It is one of only 4 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 September 2026. The last comparable one was on 2 October 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
METEOALARM reported: MeteoAlarm carries a moderate warning for Sofia-region (Frost!). Issued by the national meteorological service of Bulgaria. Placed at Sofia, the nearest settlement in the warned area; the warning itself covers the whole area.
Urban PEI: 1,282,697 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 12 September 2026
- October 2, 2026 · score 46 · 0.0 km
- September 23, 2026 · score 46 · 0.0 km
- September 20, 2026 · score 46 · 0.0 km
How we know
One source: METEOALARM. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Event data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 46 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.69/1 |
| Coordinates | 42.7000, 23.3200 |
| Nearest city | Sofia (0 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 1.3M within 50 km |
| Impact tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-10-04T23:00:01.000Z |
| Source | https://meteoalarm.org?region=BG |
| Licence | CC BY 4.0 · EUMETNET MeteoAlarm and the issuing national service |
Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: meteoalarm. Occurrence: 2026-10-04T23:00:01.000Z.
First archived: 2026-10-04T09:20:56.216Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
5 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.
Score breakdown
Technical details
| Event | Frost! |
| CapSeverity | Moderate |
| CapCertainty | Likely |
| CapUrgency | Immediate |
| AreaDesc | Sofia-region |
| EmmaId | BG412 |
| CountryCode | BG |
| Country | Bulgaria |
| Expires | 2026-10-05T05:00:00+00:00 |
| PlacedAt | Sofia |
| Placement | area-name-component |
Safety information
What to do in a winter storm or extreme cold
Three things first, then what to do before, during and after. From FEMA’s Ready.gov and the US National Weather Service.
For this reportSevere Weather · Sofia
Stay off the roads
Travel only if you must. If you are stuck in a car, stay in it, run the engine a few minutes an hour with the exhaust clear of snow.
Ready.govHeat safely
Never heat the house with an oven, a barbecue or a generator indoors: carbon monoxide kills without warning.
Ready.govWatch for frostbite and hypothermia
Numb, white or greyish skin; shivering, confusion, slurred speech. Get warm and get help.
Ready.gov
Before, during, after. Here it is still “during”.
Before · When a storm or a cold wave is forecast
Supplies for several days
Water, food, medicines, torches, batteries.
A kit in the car
Blankets, water, snacks, jump leads; keep the tank full.
Carbon monoxide alarm
Install and test one, with the smoke alarms.
Ready.gov (FEMA)
During · In the storm or the cold
Layers
Several warm layers, hat and gloves; limit time outside.
Shovel slowly
Hard effort in the cold strains the heart.
Generators outdoors
At least six metres from windows and doors.
Ready.gov (FEMA)
After · When it passes
Warm frostbite gently
With body heat or warm (not hot) water; do not rub.
Warm hypothermia from the core
Chest, neck, head and groin first, in dry blankets.
Check on others
Older people, children and pets.
Ready.gov (FEMA)
Questions people ask
How do I recognise hypothermia?
Shivering, exhaustion, confusion, fumbling hands, memory loss, slurred speech, drowsiness. Get the person warm and call for help. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).
Can I use a gas oven to heat the house?
No. Ovens, barbecues and generators indoors produce carbon monoxide, which kills without warning. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).
Should I stay in a car stuck in snow?
Yes: it is shelter, and people are found more easily with their car. Keep the exhaust pipe clear of snow. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).
Review the area, threshold and delivery channel in your account.