MediumCycloneCS: 11 · v5

Tropical Storm Isaias in Mexico

MexicoNOAA National Hurricane Center

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA National Hurricane Center arrived 17 hours ago, and this point is in it.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, <1 km from here.

Distance and hazards
Only these hazards

Tick none to hear about every hazard.

One message per event, not per detection. We send a confirmation first, and every message carries a link to stop them. We store the address and the place, nothing else.

Reported by NOAA National Hurricane Center today.

It is one of only 2 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 6 October 2026. The last comparable one was on 6 October 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA National Hurricane Center reported: Tropical Storm Isaias. Max winds: 40 mph. Pressure: 1004 mb. Movement: 75.

How we know

2 recorded sources include NOAA National Hurricane Center; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 11 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

Event data

TypeCyclone
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)11 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.67/1
Coordinates22.0000, -94.1000
Nearest cityTúxpam de Rodríguez Cano (361 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)0 within 100 km
Impact tierminor
Timestamp2026-10-07T09:00:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
LicenceUS public domain · NOAA National Hurricane Center

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: nhc. Occurrence: 2026-10-07T09:00:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-10-06T20:47:24.529Z. Material modification: 2026-10-07T09:04:51.936Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-10-07T09:04:51.936Z · data change

    Severity Low → Medium.

5 retained revisions changed source fields this page does not show; the index, severity and version stayed the same.

Score breakdown

25
intensity
0
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
13
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical details

NameIsaias
StormIdal092026
MaxWindMph40
WindSpeedKt35
Category0
Pressure1004
Movement75
TypeLabelTropical Storm
Gdacs EventTypeTC
Gdacs AlertLevelGreen
Gdacs AlertScore1
Gdacs SeverityData{"severity":175.9248,"severitytext":"Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 176 km/h)","severityunit":"km/h"}
Gdacs WindSpeedKt95
Gdacs CountryUnited States
Gdacs IsCurrenttrue
MergedSources[{"id":"gdacs_TC_1001334","source":"gdacs","severity":"low","severityValue":20,"timestamp":1791320400000,"latitude":22,"longitude":-94.1}]

Safety information

What to do in a tropical cyclone

Three things first, then how little water it takes, and what to do before, during and after. From FEMA’s Ready.gov and the US National Hurricane Center.

For this reportCyclone · Mexico

  1. Leave if you are told to

    If you live in an evacuation zone and authorities order it, go at once. Water kills most: storm surge, the sea pushed ashore, and flooding rain.

    Ready.gov · NHC
  2. Shelter in an inner room

    Away from windows, on the lowest floor that will not flood. If water rises, go up, never into a closed attic.

    Ready.gov
  3. Stay in when the wind drops

    The calm of the eye can last minutes before the wind returns from the other side.

    Ready.gov · NHC

It takes very little moving water

15cmknock an adult down
30cmcarry away most cars
60cmcarry away SUVs and pick-ups

Moving water. Figures from the US National Weather Service, “Turn Around Don’t Drown”. Person, car and water are drawn to the same scale.

Before, during, after. Here it is still “during”.

Before · When a cyclone is forecast

  • Know your evacuation zone

    And the route out of it.

  • Prepare the house

    Bring in outdoor furniture, clear gutters, protect windows.

  • Supplies for several days

    Water, food, medicines, torches, batteries, phone chargers.

  • Help your neighbours

    Especially older people and those who need assistance.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

During · While the storm passes

  • Stay indoors

    Inner room, away from windows.

  • Never into floodwater

    Fifteen centimetres of moving water can knock you down, thirty can carry your car.

  • Keep listening

    Official alerts and local radio.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

After · When the storm has passed

  • Keep away from power lines

    And from anything touching them.

  • Generators outdoors only

    Their fumes kill indoors.

  • Avoid floodwater

    It can carry sewage, chemicals and electricity.

  • Messages, not calls

    Keep lines free for emergencies.

Ready.gov (FEMA)

Questions people ask

What is storm surge?

The sea pushed onto land by the storm’s wind. It is often the greatest threat to life in a tropical cyclone, and can flood far inland. Source: US National Hurricane Center.

Cyclone, hurricane, typhoon: what is the difference?

The same storm with different names by ocean: hurricane in the Atlantic and north-east Pacific, typhoon in the north-west Pacific, cyclone in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific.

Is the calm in the middle the end?

No. It is the eye; the wind returns from the opposite side, often as strong. Stay indoors. Source: Ready.gov (FEMA).

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