HighSevere WeatherCS: 49 · v5

Severe Weather in United States

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is in it.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert is in force until 25 September 2026, 02:00 UTC.

It is one of only 3 we have recorded within 20 km of this point since 28 May 2026. The last comparable one was on 28 May 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Fire Warning

Urban PEI: 252,910 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 28 May 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 49 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityHigh
Calamity Score (ours)49 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.79/1
Coordinates43.3064, -115.9000
Nearest CityBoise (42 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)252.9K within 50 km
Impact Tiersevere
Date2026-09-25, time not reported by the source
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/AS-ID-39cbd059-ac97-4081-b2a8-922a66b44fce

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-25, time not reported.

First archived: 2026-09-24T22:04:29.874Z. Material modification: 2026-09-25T01:06:17.494Z.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

  1. 2026-09-25T01:06:17.494Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  2. 2026-09-25T01:00:47.070Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  3. 2026-09-25T00:55:30.534Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  4. 2026-09-25T00:50:14.649Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  5. 2026-09-25T00:44:58.296Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  6. 2026-09-25T00:39:41.652Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  7. 2026-09-25T00:34:26.545Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  8. 2026-09-25T00:29:11.148Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  9. 2026-09-25T00:23:54.867Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  10. 2026-09-25T00:18:39.717Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  11. 2026-09-25T00:13:24.692Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  12. 2026-09-25T00:08:08.528Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  13. 2026-09-25T00:02:50.584Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  14. 2026-09-24T23:57:33.155Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  15. 2026-09-24T23:52:11.467Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  16. 2026-09-24T23:46:49.719Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  17. 2026-09-24T23:41:28.107Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  18. 2026-09-24T23:36:06.932Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  19. 2026-09-24T23:30:45.783Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

  20. 2026-09-24T23:25:24.803Z · data_change

    Index 49 → 49; severity high → high; version 5 → 5.

Score Breakdown

50
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventFire Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescOasis
HeadlineFire Warning
Expires2026-09-24T20:00:40-06:00
SenderName201915, Elmore County ID, Elmore County ID
HasExactCoordstrue

Safety Information

If a wildfire is approaching: follow evacuation orders immediately. Do not wait to see the fire. Close all windows and doors, remove combustible materials from around your home, and have an emergency go-bag ready. Air quality can deteriorate rapidly even at distance from the fire front — monitor local air quality advisories.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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