This alert expired on 16 July 2026 at 17:06 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the strongest of the 29 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 6 May 2026. The last comparable one was on 20 June 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Pedernales River Flooding Evacuation
An estimated 23,136 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 6 May 2026
- June 15, 2026 · score 22 · 17.8 km
- June 20, 2026 · score 34 · 23.1 km
- May 7, 2026 · score 28 · 24.4 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 40 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 40 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 30.2316, -98.7753 |
| Nearest City | Kerrville (40 km) |
| Population Exposed | 23.1K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Date | 2026-07-16 — time not reported by the source |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/AS-TX-693703d1-ac64-44f1-891b-bad9d36ae3d0 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Immediate Evacuation |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Ped River |
| Headline | Pedernales River Flooding Evacuation |
| Expires | 2026-07-16T11:06:28-06:00 |
| SenderName | 202478, Fredericksburg, TX, Fredericksburg, TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens in this area?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 40/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.