Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 1 minute ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 14 July 2026 at 21:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 15th strongest of the 39 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 10 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 4 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 14 at 10:49AM CDT until July 14 at 4:00PM CDT by NWS Austin/San Antonio TX
Urban PEI: 16,476 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
Nearby, since 10 March 2026
- March 10, 2026 · score 58 · 7.3 km
- March 11, 2026 · score 46 · 12.6 km
- July 17, 2026 · score 46 · 17.9 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 34 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.81/1 |
| Coordinates | 29.6317, -99.7999 |
| Nearest City | Uvalde (47 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 16.5K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Date | 2026-07-14 — time not reported by the source |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.172a1f9e8222dfc32be42c4ae91eba54 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-07-14 — time not reported.
First archived: 2026-07-14T15:50:29.667Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Frio, TX; Medina, TX; Uvalde, TX; Zavala, TX; Bandera, TX; Medina, TX; Uvalde, TX; Uvalde, TX and 4 more areas |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued July 14 at 10:49AM CDT until July 14 at 4:00PM CDT by NWS Austin/San Antonio TX |
| Expires | 2026-07-14T16:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Austin/San Antonio TX |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 8 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.172a1f9e8222dfc32be42c4ae91eba549a10369f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.9bceec7997240cde18bf987b8eaf363831a7d85c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ec6e0f67c914ec204c8a5bef5a4125d368e2fde7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.157ad38151ba4c4b085f28d84dcca0bd1f951d42.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.dd107c880ebb2954f0972449c76d48a28214280d.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.a761fb385111a0720c2a95d0e639efe87343cfb5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.4329225b2c9334f0750d3402d95ac6e8c1a2bfe9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d44fa157643b8c04229e1b3a2be04c5853150b1d.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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