Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
4 other detections within 20 km in the last 24 hours, the nearest <1 km from here.
This alert expired on 10 September 2026 at 21:52 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 16th strongest of the 34 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 27 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued September 10 at 3:42PM MDT until September 10 at 3:45PM MDT by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
An estimated 30,753 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 27 March 2026
- September 9, 2026 · score 28 · 14.0 km
- July 3, 2026 · score 34 · 15.8 km
- June 4, 2026 · score 34 · 16.7 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 28 out of 100, at 82 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 28 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 82% |
| Coordinates | 32.9694, -105.6986 |
| Nearest City | Alamogordo (26 km) |
| Population Exposed | 30.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-10T21:42:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.252fdb970cb7fbbea26ab8ece00bb620589099cd.001.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flash Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Otero, NM |
| Headline | Flash Flood Warning issued September 10 at 3:42PM MDT until September 10 at 3:45PM MDT by NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM |
| Expires | 2026-09-10T15:52:00-06:00 |
| SenderName | NWS El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.252fdb970cb7fbbea26ab8ece00bb620589099cd.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.068d08897101aa538fe9e084800c829d5a61590b.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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