Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Hermitage

MercerUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 5 July 2026 at 22:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 9th strongest of the 91 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 17 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 30 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 5 at 2:35PM EDT until July 5 at 6:30PM EDT by NWS Pittsburgh PA

An estimated 226,980 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 17 March 2026

How we know

Confirmed by 10 independent sources, including NOAA.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 88 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence88%
Coordinates41.1719, -80.4131
Nearest CityHermitage (7 km)
Population Exposed227.0K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-05T18:35:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3475bd88e1ca20470f57825036ba6ce9

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescArmstrong, PA; Butler, PA; Lawrence, PA; Mercer, PA; Venango, PA; Mahoning, OH; Trumbull, OH
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued July 5 at 2:35PM EDT until July 5 at 6:30PM EDT by NWS Pittsburgh PA
Expires2026-07-05T18:30:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Pittsburgh PA
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3475bd88e1ca20470f57825036ba6ce9e5d000a7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ef98b0e69fb389eacf9e04e80140dde7135bd186.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryD
Iem CityCanfield
Iem CountyMahoning
Iem StateOH
Iem WfoCLE
Iem Remark5 inch diameter branches down.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_D_41.080_-80.590_1783276980000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783276980000,"latitude":41.08,"longitude":-80.59},{"id":"iem_G_41.070_-80.760_1783275300000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783275300000,"latitude":41.07,"longitude":-80.76},{"id":"iem_G_41.090_-80.700_1783275900000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783275900000,"latitude":41.09,"longitude":-80.7},{"id":"iem_F_41.030_-80.710_1783277340000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783277340000,"latitude":41.03,"longitude":-80.71},{"id":"iem_G_41.030_-80.610_1783275720000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783275720000,"latitude":41.03,"longitude":-80.61},{"id":"iem_D_41.310_-80.950_1783274100000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783274100000,"latitude":41.31,"longitude":-80.95},{"id":"iem_D_41.040_-80.670_1783277160000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783277160000,"latitude":41.04,"longitude":-80.67},{"id":"iem_D_41.050_-80.670_1783276860000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783276860000,"latitude":41.05,"longitude":-80.67},{"id":"iem_D_41.030_-80.760_1783275600000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1783275600000,"latitude":41.03,"longitude":-80.76}]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Hermitage (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.